Forecast-level Accuracy Correlation on Forecasting Indicators Dataset Season 3 to 4 (S3→S4)
0.71Pearson Correlation (r)Past accuracy
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| Past accuracyCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from previous season data2026.06 | 0.71 | |
| EQM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.57 | |
| Pre-LLM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.52 | |
| Update sizeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.5 | |
| Forecast countCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.45 | |
| Word countCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.23 | |
| EQM forecast compositeCalculation Notes=Forecast-level2026.06 | 0.15 | |
| Past accuracyCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from previous season data2026.06 | 0.12 | |
| Update sizeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.11 | |
| EQM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.09 | |
| Pre-LLM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.07 | |
| Pre-LLM forecast compositeCalculation Notes=Forecast-level2026.06 | 0.05 | |
| Forecast countCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.05 | |
| Word countCalculation Notes=Forecast-level2026.06 | 0.01 |