Forecast-level Accuracy Correlation on Forecasting Indicators Dataset S2→S3 Season 2 to 3
0.68Pearson Correlation (r)Past accuracy
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| Past accuracyCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from previous season data2026.06 | 0.68 | |
| Update sizeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.62 | |
| Forecast countCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.58 | |
| EQM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.53 | |
| Pre-LLM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.41 | |
| Word countCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.32 | |
| EQM forecast compositeCalculation Notes=Forecast-level2026.06 | 0.17 | |
| Past accuracyCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from previous season data2026.06 | 0.13 | |
| Update sizeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.12 | |
| EQM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.11 | |
| Forecast countCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.09 | |
| Pre-LLM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.09 | |
| Pre-LLM forecast compositeCalculation Notes=Forecast-level2026.06 | 0.03 | |
| Word countCalculation Notes=Forecast-level2026.06 | 0.03 |