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Accuracy Correlation Analysis on ACE Forecaster-level Season 4 1.0

0.4Human Rating Correlation CoefficientEQM composite score
0.25440.29220.330.3678Jun 29, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
EQM composite scoren=141, Metric (Ground Truth)=ABSnorm, Training Set=Seasons 1-3, Minimum Rationale Threshold=at least 10 rationales with at least three human ratings2026.060.40.50.0010.0010.40.0010.097
Human Ratingn=141, Metric (Ground Truth)=ABSnorm, Minimum Rationale Threshold=at least 10 rationales with at least three human ratings2026.060.4——0.001———
EQM composite scoren=242, Metric (Ground Truth)=ABSnorm, Minimum Rationale Threshold=at least 5 rationales2026.060.360.48————0.028
EQM composite scoren=409, Metric (Ground Truth)=ABSnorm, Minimum Rationale Threshold=at least 1 rationale2026.060.260.42————0.001