# Accuracy Correlation Analysis on ACE Forecaster-level Season 4 1.0

Source: [Accuracy Correlation Analysis on ACE Forecaster-level Season 4 1.0](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-season-4-1-0>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-07-01T06:38:13.840Z

Evaluation of model performance using correlation metrics (r values) and statistical significance (p-values) for Accuracy Correlation Analysis on the ACE Forecaster-level Season 4 1.0 dataset, covering EQM, Human Rating, and Between measures.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Accuracy Correlation Analysis |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ACE Forecaster-level Season 4 1.0 |
| Metric | Human Rating Correlation Coefficient |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 4 of 4 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Human Rating Correlation Coefficient](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=Human%20Rating%20Correlation%20Coefficient>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [EQM Correlation Coefficient](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=EQM%20Correlation%20Coefficient>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [EQM P-Value](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=EQM%20P-Value>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Human Rating P-Value](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=Human%20Rating%20P-Value>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Between Measure Correlation Coefficient](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=Between%20Measure%20Correlation%20Coefficient>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Between Measure P-Value](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=Between%20Measure%20P-Value>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [EQM Better Comparison P-Value](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=EQM%20Better%20Comparison%20P-Value>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Human Rating Correlation Coefficient | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EQM composite score | 0.4 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |
| Human Rating | 0.4 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |
| EQM composite score | 0.36 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |
| EQM composite score | 0.26 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |

### EQM composite score

Human Rating Correlation Coefficient: 0.4. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8faf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"n":"141","Metric (Ground Truth)":"ABSnorm","Training Set":"Seasons 1-3","Minimum Rationale Threshold":"at least 10 rationales with at least three human ratings"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Human Rating

Human Rating Correlation Coefficient: 0.4. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8fb0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"n":"141","Metric (Ground Truth)":"ABSnorm","Minimum Rationale Threshold":"at least 10 rationales with at least three human ratings"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EQM composite score

Human Rating Correlation Coefficient: 0.36. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8fb1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"n":"242","Metric (Ground Truth)":"ABSnorm","Minimum Rationale Threshold":"at least 5 rationales"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EQM composite score

Human Rating Correlation Coefficient: 0.26. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8fb2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"n":"409","Metric (Ground Truth)":"ABSnorm","Minimum Rationale Threshold":"at least 1 rationale"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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