Forecast-level Accuracy Correlation on Forecasting Indicators Dataset Mean across seasons Aggregate
0.7Pearson Correlation (r)Past accuracy
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| Past accuracyCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from previous season data2026.06 | 0.7 | |
| Update sizeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.57 | |
| EQM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.55 | |
| Forecast countCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.52 | |
| Pre-LLM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.43 | |
| Word countCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.3 | |
| EQM forecast compositeCalculation Notes=Forecast-level2026.06 | 0.16 | |
| Past accuracyCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from previous season data2026.06 | 0.13 | |
| Update sizeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.13 | |
| EQM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.11 | |
| Forecast countCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.09 | |
| Pre-LLM forecaster compositeCalculation Notes=Forecaster-level from current season data2026.06 | 0.08 | |
| Pre-LLM forecast compositeCalculation Notes=Forecast-level2026.06 | 0.05 | |
| Word countCalculation Notes=Forecast-level2026.06 | 0.03 |