# Forecast-level Accuracy Correlation on Forecasting Indicators Dataset S2→S3 Season 2 to 3 Source: [Forecast-level Accuracy Correlation on Forecasting Indicators Dataset S2→S3 Season 2 to 3]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-07-01T06:38:13.760Z Evaluation of model performance using Pearson correlation (r) to measure forecast-level accuracy correlation on the Forecasting Indicators Dataset S2→S3 Season 2 to 3. A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Forecast-level Accuracy Correlation | | Dataset (including any stated split) | Forecasting Indicators Dataset S2→S3 Season 2 to 3 | | Metric | Pearson Correlation (r) | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Higher is better | | Results loaded | 14 of 14 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [Pearson Correlation (r)](): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR. ## Recorded results | Method | Pearson Correlation (r) | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Past accuracy | 0.68 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Update size | 0.62 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Forecast count | 0.58 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | EQM forecaster composite | 0.53 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Pre-LLM forecaster composite | 0.41 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Word count | 0.32 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | EQM forecast composite | 0.17 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Past accuracy | 0.13 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Update size | 0.12 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | EQM forecaster composite | 0.11 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Forecast count | 0.09 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Pre-LLM forecaster composite | 0.09 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Pre-LLM forecast composite | 0.03 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Word count | 0.03 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | ### Past accuracy Pearson Correlation (r): 0.68. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f9b. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from previous season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Update size Pearson Correlation (r): 0.62. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f9d. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Forecast count Pearson Correlation (r): 0.58. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f9c. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### EQM forecaster composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.53. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f9e. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Pre-LLM forecaster composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.41. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f9f. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Word count Pearson Correlation (r): 0.32. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8fa0. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### EQM forecast composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.17. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f7d. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecast-level"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Past accuracy Pearson Correlation (r): 0.13. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f80. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from previous season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Update size Pearson Correlation (r): 0.12. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f82. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### EQM forecaster composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.11. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f83. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Forecast count Pearson Correlation (r): 0.09. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f81. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Pre-LLM forecaster composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.09. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f84. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Pre-LLM forecast composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.03. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f7e. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecast-level"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Word count Pearson Correlation (r): 0.03. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f7f. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecast-level"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.