ResearchBenchmarksGeopolitical Prediction on Geopolitical Prediction Overall 1.0 (aggregated)Geopolitical Prediction on Geopolitical Prediction Overall 1.0 (aggregated)Follow0.176Brier ScoreGIPFEL-I0.171560.201530.23150.26147Jan 21, 2026Evaluation resultsMethodMethodLinksBrier ScoreGIPFEL-I2026.010.176Human2026.010.203GPT-42026.010.287