ResearchBenchmarksGeopolitical Prediction on Geopolitical Prediction 12-month temporal horizon 1.0Follow0.732AccuracyGIPFEL-I0.637360.661930.68650.71107Jan 21, 2026Evaluation ResultsMethodMethodLinksAccuracyGIPFEL-I2026.010.732Human2026.010.684Claude-22026.010.667GPT-42026.010.641