ResearchBenchmarksGeopolitical Prediction 24-month temporal horizon 1.0Follow67.1AccuracyGIPFEL-I57.94860.32462.765.076Jan 21, 2026Evaluation ResultsMethodMethodLinksAccuracyGIPFEL-I2026.0167.1Human2026.0161.8Claude-22026.0160.2GPT-42026.0158.3