ResearchBenchmarksGeopolitical Prediction on Geopolitical Prediction 36-month temporal horizon 1.0Geopolitical Prediction on Geopolitical Prediction 36-month temporal horizon 1.0Follow62.3AccuracyGIPFEL-I53.35655.6785860.322Jan 21, 2026Evaluation resultsMethodMethodLinksAccuracyGIPFEL-I2026.0162.3Human2026.0157.9Claude-22026.0155.4GPT-42026.0153.7