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Forecast Aggregation on Unknown state space with known marginal predictive distributions

0Tight BoundMinimax Aggregator
-0.010.05750.1250.1925Apr 27, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Minimax AggregatorInformation Structure=Blackwell-Ordered2026.040——
trivial constant ruleInformation Structure=General2026.040.25——
generalized log-odds aggregatorInformation Structure=Conditionally Independent2026.04——0.0228
Minimax AggregatorInformation Structure=Conditionally Independent2026.04—5—