Forecast Aggregation on Known-marginal setting
0.0228Worst-Case RegretOur Aggregator (fα,γ)
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| Our Aggregator (fα,γ)α=≈ 0.656089, γ=≈ 0.4982682026.04 | 0.0228 | |
| Kong et al. (2024)Prior Estimate (µ̂)=µ, λ=0.82026.04 | 0.0389 | |
| Standard BayesianPrior Estimate (µ̂)=µ2026.04 | 0.0403 | |
| Always Output Prior MeanPrior Estimate (µ̂)=µ2026.04 | 0.25 |