Event Prediction on TAXI
0.236RMSEΔtEVIL
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVILPrior information=Synthetic prior, Prediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.236 | 4.385 | 34.3 | 69.672 | — | |
| EVILPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.241 | 4.054 | 29.9 | 71.038 | — | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation protocol=Zero-shot, Prediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.246 | 6.773 | 65.5 | 74.912 | — | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation protocol=Fine-tuning, Prediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.25 | 4.083 | 31.1 | 71.108 | — | |
| DTPPEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.283 | — | — | — | 92.9 | |
| SURF-GLQEvaluation Protocol=finetuned2026.05 | 0.286 | — | — | — | 90.9 | |
| SURF-CSBEvaluation Protocol=finetuned2026.05 | 0.288 | — | — | — | 90.5 | |
| EVIL2026.04 | 0.29 | — | — | 71.98 | 91 | |
| NJDTPPEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.296 | — | — | — | 90.8 | |
| EVILPrior=synthetic prior2026.04 | 0.3 | — | — | 69.49 | 91 | |
| SURF-MoEEvaluation Protocol=finetuned2026.05 | 0.311 | — | — | — | 89.5 | |
| TimesFMEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.316 | — | — | — | — | |
| CDiffPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.318 | 5.966 | 54.7 | 89.535 | — | |
| A-NHP2026.04 | 0.32 | — | — | 85.13 | 91 | |
| A-NHP2025.09 | 0.32 | — | — | 85.13 | 91 | |
| HYPROPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.322 | 5.952 | 50 | 85.994 | — | |
| TCDDMPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.327 | 5.877 | 64.8 | 88.051 | — | |
| SURF-GLQEvaluation Protocol=joint2026.05 | 0.33 | — | — | — | 88.2 | |
| IFTPPPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.335 | 7.209 | 60.8 | 90.512 | — | |
| Dual-TPPPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.34 | 7.534 | 63.6 | 89.727 | — | |
| Dual-TPP2026.04 | 0.34 | — | — | 89.12 | 91 | |
| NHP2026.04 | 0.34 | — | — | 90.63 | 91 | |
| CDiff2026.04 | 0.34 | — | — | 87.12 | 91 | |
| HawkesEM2026.04 | 0.34 | — | — | 79.93 | 9 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zs2026.04 | 0.34 | — | — | 98.03 | 52 | |
| Dual-TPP2025.09 | 0.34 | — | — | 89.12 | 91 | |
| NHP2025.09 | 0.34 | — | — | 90.63 | 91 | |
| CDiff2025.09 | 0.34 | — | — | 87.12 | 91 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot2025.09 | 0.34 | — | — | 98.03 | 47 | |
| A-NHPPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.347 | 6.441 | 68.2 | 89.07 | — | |
| NHPPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.351 | 7.405 | 64.1 | 91.625 | — | |
| NHPEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.369 | — | — | — | 91.5 | |
| GRUwEEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.369 | — | — | — | 91.4 | |
| AttNHPEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.37 | — | — | — | 91.3 | |
| THPEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.37 | — | — | — | 91.3 | |
| RMTPPEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.371 | — | — | — | 90.5 | |
| ODETPPEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.371 | — | — | — | 89.5 | |
| SAHPEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.372 | — | — | — | 90.3 | |
| FullyNNEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.373 | — | — | — | — | |
| IFTPPEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.377 | — | — | — | 91.4 | |
| IFTPP2026.04 | 0.38 | — | — | 90.03 | 90 | |
| IFTPP2025.09 | 0.38 | — | — | 90.03 | 90 | |
| MHPEvaluation Protocol=from scratch2026.05 | 0.382 | — | — | — | 90.5 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=f2026.04 | 0.45 | — | — | 85.91 | 91 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=finetuned2025.09 | 0.45 | — | — | 85.91 | 91 | |
| SURF-CSBEvaluation Protocol=joint2026.05 | 0.456 | — | — | — | 90.3 | |
| SURF-MoEEvaluation Protocol=joint2026.05 | 0.491 | — | — | — | 89.7 | |
| A-NHPPrediction Horizon (N)=202025.09 | — | 24.76 | — | 97.4 | — | |
| CDiffPrediction Horizon (N)=202025.09 | — | 21.01 | — | 88 | — | |
| Dual-TPPPrediction Horizon (N)=202025.09 | — | 24.48 | — | 95.2 | — | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Prediction Horizon (N)=202025.09 | — | 23.15 | — | 76.8 | — | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuned, Prediction Horizon (N)=202025.09 | — | 17.91 | — | 76.8 | — | |
| HYPROPrediction Horizon (N)=202025.09 | — | 21.6 | — | 93.8 | — | |
| IFTPPPrediction Horizon (N)=202025.09 | — | 24.05 | — | 95.7 | — | |
| NHPPrediction Horizon (N)=202025.09 | — | 25.11 | — | 96.5 | — | |
| TCDDMPrediction Horizon (N)=202025.09 | — | 22.15 | — | 90.6 | — |