Event Prediction on AMAZON (test)
9.43OTDA-NHP
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A-NHP2025.09 | 9.43 | 1.117 | 0.427 | 83.121 | |
| CDiff2025.09 | 9.478 | 1.326 | 0.424 | 81.287 | |
| HYPRO2025.09 | 9.552 | 1.397 | 0.433 | 82.847 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Fine-tuned, Loss Objective=SMAPE2025.09 | 10.004 | 0.732 | 0.343 | 79.623 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Fine-tuned, Loss Objective=NLL2025.09 | 10.034 | 0.737 | 0.341 | 78.738 | |
| IFTPP2025.09 | 10.23 | 1.663 | 0.447 | 88.9 | |
| TCDDM2025.09 | 10.557 | 1.409 | 0.46 | 82.401 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Zero-shot, Loss Objective=SMAPE2025.09 | 11.029 | 0.735 | 0.445 | 117.793 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Zero-shot, Loss Objective=NLL2025.09 | 11.124 | 0.736 | 0.449 | 119.129 | |
| NHP2025.09 | 11.273 | 1.431 | 0.501 | 90.591 | |
| Dual-TPP2025.09 | 11.309 | 1.742 | 0.476 | 86.633 | |
| FIM-PPmode=fine-tuned2026.04 | 18.428 | 1.091 | 0.361 | 87.264 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuning, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 18.428 | 1.091 | 0.361 | 87.264 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuning, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 18.566 | 1.153 | 0.352 | 82.555 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 21.418 | 1.198 | 0.445 | 118.944 | |
| FIM-PPmode=zero-shot2026.04 | 21.736 | 1.141 | 0.449 | 120.894 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 21.736 | 1.141 | 0.449 | 120.894 | |
| EVIL2026.04 | 21.947 | 1.701 | 0.314 | 74.389 | |
| EVILprior=synthetic2026.04 | 22.84 | 1.885 | 0.324 | 59.647 | |
| A-NHP2026.04 | 24.116 | 1.741 | 0.454 | 84.323 | |
| A-NHP2025.09 | 24.116 | 1.741 | 0.454 | 84.323 | |
| CDiff2026.04 | 24.23 | 1.766 | 0.45 | 82.124 | |
| CDiff2025.09 | 24.23 | 1.766 | 0.45 | 82.124 | |
| HYPRO2026.04 | 24.956 | 1.765 | 0.442 | 83.401 | |
| HYPRO2025.09 | 24.956 | 1.765 | 0.442 | 83.401 | |
| TCDDM2026.04 | 25.091 | 1.778 | 0.448 | 82.105 | |
| TCDDM2025.09 | 25.091 | 1.778 | 0.448 | 82.105 | |
| NHP2026.04 | 25.73 | 1.843 | 0.491 | 89.135 | |
| NHP2025.09 | 25.73 | 1.843 | 0.491 | 89.135 | |
| Dual-TPP2026.04 | 25.929 | 2.098 | 0.475 | 82.352 | |
| Dual-TPP2025.09 | 25.929 | 2.098 | 0.475 | 82.352 | |
| IFTPP2026.04 | 26.632 | 1.955 | 0.464 | 89.305 | |
| IFTPP2025.09 | 26.632 | 1.955 | 0.464 | 89.305 | |
| FIM-PPfine-tuned=true2026.04 | 37.208 | 2.03 | 0.366 | 81.188 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuned, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 37.208 | 2.03 | 0.366 | 81.188 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuned, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 37.454 | 2.116 | 0.361 | 87.257 | |
| CDiff2026.04 | 37.728 | 2.091 | 0.464 | 81.987 | |
| CDiff2025.09 | 37.728 | 2.091 | 0.464 | 81.987 | |
| HYPRO2026.04 | 38.613 | 2.007 | 0.477 | 82.506 | |
| HYPRO2025.09 | 38.613 | 2.007 | 0.477 | 82.506 | |
| A-NHP2026.04 | 39.48 | 2.166 | 0.476 | 84.323 | |
| A-NHP2025.09 | 39.48 | 2.166 | 0.476 | 84.323 | |
| TCDDM2026.04 | 42.245 | 2.998 | 0.476 | 83.826 | |
| TCDDM2025.09 | 42.245 | 2.998 | 0.476 | 83.826 | |
| NHP2026.04 | 42.571 | 2.561 | 0.519 | 92.053 | |
| NHP2025.09 | 42.571 | 2.561 | 0.519 | 92.053 | |
| Dual-TPP2026.04 | 42.646 | 2.562 | 0.482 | 86.453 | |
| Dual-TPP2025.09 | 42.646 | 2.562 | 0.482 | 86.453 | |
| IFTPP2026.04 | 43.82 | 3.05 | 0.481 | 90.91 | |
| IFTPP2025.09 | 43.82 | 3.05 | 0.481 | 90.91 | |
| EVIL2026.04 | 43.932 | 3.277 | 0.326 | 78.108 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 45.153 | 2.106 | 0.453 | 124.476 | |
| FIM-PPzero-shot=true2026.04 | 46.219 | 2.073 | 0.464 | 128.635 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 46.219 | 2.073 | 0.464 | 128.635 | |
| EVILPrior=synthetic2026.04 | 46.423 | 3.738 | 0.358 | 61.841 |