Event Prediction on RETWEET (test)
15.585OTDFIM-PP
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Fine-tuned, Loss Objective=SMAPE2025.09 | 15.585 | 1.012 | 25.413 | 84.945 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Fine-tuned, Loss Objective=NLL2025.09 | 15.645 | 1.033 | 25.308 | 83.01 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Zero-shot, Loss Objective=NLL2025.09 | 15.747 | 1.342 | 28.138 | 98.668 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Zero-shot, Loss Objective=SMAPE2025.09 | 15.78 | 1.331 | 28.472 | 100.765 | |
| CDiff2025.09 | 15.858 | 1.023 | 26.078 | 106.62 | |
| TCDDM2025.09 | 15.874 | 1.194 | 28.53 | 105.57 | |
| NHP2025.09 | 15.945 | 1.113 | 32.367 | 107.022 | |
| IFTPP2025.09 | 16.043 | 1.313 | 30.853 | 106.941 | |
| Dual-TPP2025.09 | 16.05 | 1.077 | 31.493 | 101.322 | |
| A-NHP2025.09 | 16.124 | 1.058 | 29.247 | 105.93 | |
| HYPRO2025.09 | 16.145 | 1.105 | 27.236 | 103.052 | |
| EVIL2026.04 | 30.33 | 3.116 | 24.819 | 84.946 | |
| A-NHP2026.04 | 30.337 | 1.823 | 26.31 | 106.021 | |
| A-NHP2025.09 | 30.337 | 1.823 | 26.31 | 106.021 | |
| EVILprior=synthetic2026.04 | 30.539 | 3.769 | 27.525 | 98.648 | |
| FIM-PPmode=fine-tuned2026.04 | 30.592 | 1.611 | 25.021 | 86.875 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuning, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 30.592 | 1.611 | 25.021 | 86.875 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuning, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 30.788 | 1.652 | 24.836 | 85.222 | |
| NHP2026.04 | 30.817 | 1.713 | 27.01 | 107.053 | |
| NHP2025.09 | 30.817 | 1.713 | 27.01 | 107.053 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 30.986 | 2.396 | 28.305 | 105.397 | |
| FIM-PPmode=zero-shot2026.04 | 31.027 | 2.355 | 27.085 | 97.59 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 31.027 | 2.355 | 27.085 | 97.59 | |
| CDiff2026.04 | 31.237 | 1.745 | 26.429 | 105.767 | |
| CDiff2025.09 | 31.237 | 1.745 | 26.429 | 105.767 | |
| Dual-TPP2026.04 | 31.652 | 1.963 | 28.104 | 106.721 | |
| Dual-TPP2025.09 | 31.652 | 1.963 | 28.104 | 106.721 | |
| HYPRO2026.04 | 31.743 | 1.927 | 33.683 | 105.073 | |
| HYPRO2025.09 | 31.743 | 1.927 | 33.683 | 105.073 | |
| IFTPP2026.04 | 31.974 | 1.942 | 28.825 | 106.014 | |
| IFTPP2025.09 | 31.974 | 1.942 | 28.825 | 106.014 | |
| TCDDM2026.04 | 32.006 | 1.789 | 29.124 | 106.738 | |
| TCDDM2025.09 | 32.006 | 1.789 | 29.124 | 106.738 | |
| EVIL2026.04 | 57.966 | 6.102 | 21.718 | 85.88 | |
| EVILPrior=synthetic2026.04 | 58.449 | 7.277 | 24.424 | 98.867 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuned, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 59.15 | 3.081 | 21.8 | 87.754 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 59.392 | 4.323 | 24.804 | 106.317 | |
| FIM-PPfine-tuned=true2026.04 | 59.437 | 2.703 | 21.985 | 87.585 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuned, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 59.437 | 2.703 | 21.985 | 87.585 | |
| FIM-PPzero-shot=true2026.04 | 60.238 | 4.172 | 24.057 | 99.069 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 60.238 | 4.172 | 24.057 | 99.069 | |
| TCDDM2026.04 | 60.501 | 2.387 | 27.303 | 106.048 | |
| TCDDM2025.09 | 60.501 | 2.387 | 27.303 | 106.048 | |
| A-NHP2026.04 | 60.634 | 2.561 | 28.812 | 107.234 | |
| A-NHP2025.09 | 60.634 | 2.561 | 28.812 | 107.234 | |
| CDiff2026.04 | 60.661 | 2.293 | 27.101 | 106.184 | |
| CDiff2025.09 | 60.661 | 2.293 | 27.101 | 106.184 | |
| NHP2026.04 | 60.953 | 2.651 | 27.13 | 107.075 | |
| NHP2025.09 | 60.953 | 2.651 | 27.13 | 107.075 | |
| HYPRO2026.04 | 61.031 | 2.623 | 30.1 | 106.11 | |
| HYPRO2025.09 | 61.031 | 2.623 | 30.1 | 106.11 | |
| Dual-TPP2026.04 | 61.095 | 2.679 | 28.914 | 106.9 | |
| Dual-TPP2025.09 | 61.095 | 2.679 | 28.914 | 106.9 | |
| IFTPP2026.04 | 61.715 | 2.776 | 27.582 | 106.711 | |
| IFTPP2025.09 | 61.715 | 2.776 | 27.582 | 106.711 |