Event Prediction on TAOBAO (test)
10.147OTDCDiff
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDiff2025.09 | 10.147 | 0.73 | 0.519 | 124.339 | |
| IFTPP2025.09 | 11.052 | 1.941 | 0.601 | 126.32 | |
| A-NHP2025.09 | 11.223 | 0.873 | 0.55 | 132.266 | |
| HYPRO2025.09 | 11.317 | 0.817 | 0.573 | 133.837 | |
| TCDDM2025.09 | 11.609 | 1.69 | 0.675 | 129.009 | |
| NHP2025.09 | 11.973 | 1.91 | 0.712 | 134.693 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Fine-tuned, Loss Objective=NLL2025.09 | 13.173 | 0.745 | 14.892 | 146.921 | |
| Dual-TPP2025.09 | 13.28 | 1.877 | 0.691 | 134.437 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Fine-tuned, Loss Objective=SMAPE2025.09 | 13.572 | 0.759 | 17.384 | 150.562 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Zero-shot, Loss Objective=NLL2025.09 | 15.951 | 1.129 | 1.761 | 168.299 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=Zero-shot, Loss Objective=SMAPE2025.09 | 15.955 | 1.106 | 1.918 | 167.486 | |
| TCDDM2026.04 | 21.012 | 2.598 | 0.61 | 132.711 | |
| TCDDM2025.09 | 21.012 | 2.598 | 0.61 | 132.711 | |
| CDiff2026.04 | 21.221 | 1.416 | 0.535 | 126.824 | |
| CDiff2025.09 | 21.221 | 1.416 | 0.535 | 126.824 | |
| HYPRO2026.04 | 21.547 | 1.527 | 0.591 | 133.147 | |
| HYPRO2025.09 | 21.547 | 1.527 | 0.591 | 133.147 | |
| A-NHP2026.04 | 21.683 | 1.514 | 0.608 | 135.271 | |
| A-NHP2025.09 | 21.683 | 1.514 | 0.608 | 135.271 | |
| EVILprior=synthetic2026.04 | 22.056 | 1.498 | 1.244 | 121.642 | |
| IFTPP2026.04 | 23.195 | 2.429 | 0.602 | 127.411 | |
| IFTPP2025.09 | 23.195 | 2.429 | 0.602 | 127.411 | |
| Dual-TPP2026.04 | 23.691 | 2.674 | 0.873 | 139.271 | |
| Dual-TPP2025.09 | 23.691 | 2.674 | 0.873 | 139.271 | |
| EVIL2026.04 | 23.928 | 1.518 | 1.414 | 168.93 | |
| NHP2026.04 | 24.068 | 2.769 | 0.855 | 137.693 | |
| NHP2025.09 | 24.068 | 2.769 | 0.855 | 137.693 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuning, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 27.94 | 1.358 | 14.844 | 153.499 | |
| FIM-PPmode=fine-tuned2026.04 | 27.974 | 1.325 | 14.954 | 145.821 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuning, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 27.974 | 1.325 | 14.954 | 145.821 | |
| FIM-PPmode=zero-shot2026.04 | 31.88 | 2.024 | 1.955 | 170.278 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 31.88 | 2.024 | 1.955 | 170.278 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 32.249 | 1.822 | 3.538 | 172.683 | |
| HYPRO2026.04 | 44.336 | 2.71 | 0.594 | 134.922 | |
| HYPRO2025.09 | 44.336 | 2.71 | 0.594 | 134.922 | |
| CDiff2026.04 | 44.621 | 2.653 | 0.551 | 125.685 | |
| CDiff2025.09 | 44.621 | 2.653 | 0.551 | 125.685 | |
| A-NHP2026.04 | 45.555 | 2.737 | 0.708 | 134.582 | |
| A-NHP2025.09 | 45.555 | 2.737 | 0.708 | 134.582 | |
| TCDDM2026.04 | 45.563 | 2.85 | 0.569 | 126.512 | |
| TCDDM2025.09 | 45.563 | 2.85 | 0.569 | 126.512 | |
| IFTPP2026.04 | 45.757 | 3.193 | 0.575 | 127.436 | |
| IFTPP2025.09 | 45.757 | 3.193 | 0.575 | 127.436 | |
| Dual-TPP2026.04 | 47.324 | 3.237 | 0.871 | 141.687 | |
| Dual-TPP2025.09 | 47.324 | 3.237 | 0.871 | 141.687 | |
| NHP2026.04 | 48.131 | 3.355 | 0.837 | 137.644 | |
| NHP2025.09 | 48.131 | 3.355 | 0.837 | 137.644 | |
| EVILPrior=synthetic2026.04 | 49.979 | 3.227 | 1.558 | 119.26 | |
| EVIL2026.04 | 52.356 | 2.979 | 1.688 | 170.464 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuned, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 58.9 | 2.347 | 14.734 | 152.547 | |
| FIM-PPfine-tuned=true2026.04 | 60.106 | 2.428 | 16.068 | 152.528 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=fine-tuned, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 60.106 | 2.428 | 16.068 | 152.528 | |
| FIM-PPzero-shot=true2026.04 | 64.281 | 3.949 | 1.988 | 169.687 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=NLL2025.09 | 64.281 | 3.949 | 1.988 | 169.687 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zero-shot, Optimization Objective=S-MAPE2025.09 | 65.088 | 3.251 | 4.042 | 174.814 |