Event Prediction on TAOBAO
0.13RMSEΔtHawkesEM
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HawkesEM2026.04 | 0.13 | — | — | 111.57 | 56 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=zs2026.04 | 0.13 | — | — | 112.89 | 52 | |
| EVILPrior=synthetic prior2026.04 | 0.13 | — | — | 95.71 | 61 | |
| EVIL2026.04 | 0.13 | — | — | 117.62 | 59 | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation Protocol=f2026.04 | 0.16 | — | — | 115.98 | 60 | |
| CDiffPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.519 | 10.147 | 0.73 | 124.339 | — | |
| CDiff2026.04 | 0.52 | — | — | 127.12 | 48 | |
| A-NHP2026.04 | 0.53 | — | — | 129.13 | 47 | |
| Dual-TPP2026.04 | 0.53 | — | — | 131.43 | 47 | |
| NHP2026.04 | 0.53 | — | — | 133.69 | 46 | |
| IFTPP2026.04 | 0.53 | — | — | 126.01 | 45 | |
| A-NHPPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.55 | 11.223 | 0.873 | 132.266 | — | |
| HYPROPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.573 | 11.317 | 0.817 | 133.837 | — | |
| IFTPPPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.601 | 11.052 | 1.941 | 126.32 | — | |
| TCDDMPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.675 | 11.609 | 1.69 | 129.009 | — | |
| Dual-TPPPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.691 | 13.28 | 1.877 | 134.437 | — | |
| NHPPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.712 | 11.973 | 1.91 | 134.693 | — | |
| EVILPrior information=Synthetic prior, Prediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 0.974 | 9.894 | 0.73 | 121.309 | — | |
| EVILPrediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 1.167 | 10.938 | 0.745 | 166.051 | — | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation protocol=Zero-shot, Prediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 1.761 | 15.951 | 1.129 | 168.299 | — | |
| FIM-PPEvaluation protocol=Fine-tuning, Prediction Horizon=N=52026.04 | 14.892 | 13.173 | 0.745 | 146.921 | — |