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Uncertainty Estimation research benchmarks – Page 4 · SOTA2 Research

Uncertainty Estimation

Benchmarks

Dataset NameSOTA MethodSort

Dataset NameSOTA methodMetricTrendResultsLast Updated

Synthetic a=1 10-fold (test)

0.90895% PI

6

Feb 26, 2026

Synthetic a=0 10-fold (test)

98.195% PI Coverage

6

Feb 26, 2026

0.634Brier Score

5

Mar 13, 2026

NYUD2-DIR Few-shot

4.113NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

NYUD2-DIR Medium-shot

2.727NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

NYUD2-DIR Many-shot

2.815NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

NYUD2-DIR All-shot

3.866NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

2.152NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

STS-B-DIR Medium

2.754NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

1.81NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

STS-B DIR (All)

1.996NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

4.196NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

AgeDB-DIR (Med)

3.805NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

AgeDB-DIR (Many)

3.598NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

AgeDB-DIR (All)

3.703NLL

5

Feb 26, 2026

IMDB-WIKI-DIR (test)

3.651NLL (All)

5

Feb 26, 2026

Quadruped locomotion (test)

99.5r-Coverage

4

Jun 30, 2026

Shared (GQA, POPE, etc.) (test)

0.001ECE

4

May 12, 2026

KITTI 2012, 2015 (train)

0.12AUSE

4

Apr 14, 2026

Sintel final, clean (train)

0.26AUSE

4

Apr 14, 2026

0.009NLL

4

Mar 13, 2026

CIFAR100-C Benign Stream

5.4ECE

4

Feb 26, 2026

ScanNet (100 sequences)

UfM-DepthOnly-300K

0.76Delta 1

3

May 25, 2026

Across-dataset Off-diagonal

2.86AUPRC Difference (pp)

3

Mar 25, 2026

Within-dataset Diagonal

1.37AUPRC Difference

3

Mar 25, 2026

Page 4 of 5

Popular datasets

AgeDB STS-B HumanEval NYUd2 MATH

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