Univariate Load Forecasting on UT Austin 1h horizon data-scarce scenario (test)
0.79RMSE (MW)Chronos
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChronosData scenario=Data-scarce, Forecast horizon=1 h, Evaluation=Average of 30 runs, Mode=Zero-shot2024.11 | 0.79 | 0.56 | 1.36 | |
| TFTData scenario=Data-scarce, Forecast horizon=1 h, Evaluation=Average of 30 runs2024.11 | 0.83 | 0.59 | 1.44 | |
| AutoARIMAData scenario=Data-scarce, Forecast horizon=1 h, Evaluation=Average of 30 runs2024.11 | 0.92 | 0.69 | 1.69 | |
| PatchTSTData scenario=Data-scarce, Forecast horizon=1 h, Evaluation=Average of 30 runs2024.11 | 1.09 | 0.84 | 2.04 | |
| AutoETSData scenario=Data-scarce, Forecast horizon=1 h, Evaluation=Average of 30 runs2024.11 | 1.18 | 0.89 | 2.17 | |
| DeepARData scenario=Data-scarce, Forecast horizon=1 h, Evaluation=Average of 30 runs2024.11 | 1.76 | 1.37 | 3.34 | |
| SNMData scenario=Data-scarce, Forecast horizon=1 h, Evaluation=Average of 30 runs2024.11 | 3.79 | 2.83 | 6.95 | |
| NPTSData scenario=Data-scarce, Forecast horizon=1 h, Evaluation=Average of 30 runs2024.11 | 3.96 | 3.17 | 7.77 | |
| CSBAData scenario=Data-scarce, Forecast horizon=1 h, Evaluation=Average of 30 runs2024.11 | 4.26 | 3.41 | 7.96 | |
| TimeLLMData scenario=Data-scarce, Forecast horizon=1 h, Evaluation=Average of 30 runs2024.11 | 4.51 | 3.64 | 8.67 |