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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Load Forecasting on First Competition Dataset

116.99RMSE (MW)Chronos
-15.766880.3371,776.442,672.543Nov 18, 2024
Updated 4mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
ChronosForecast horizon=1 h2024.11116.9987.571.17
TFTForecast horizon=1 h2024.11214.03154.152.03
PatchTSTForecast horizon=1 h2024.11217.55149.481.99
AutoARIMAForecast horizon=1 h2024.11296.4172.482.29
DeepARForecast horizon=1 h2024.11299.83224.363.12
ChronosForecast horizon=6 h2024.11302.74145.881.97
ChronosForecast horizon=12 h2024.11355.48173.572.39
DeepARForecast horizon=6 h2024.11461.15328.124.43
AutoETSForecast horizon=1 h2024.11500.3309.154.27
PatchTSTForecast horizon=12 h2024.11527.08303.313.85
TFTForecast horizon=12 h2024.11536.55371.415.16
PatchTSTForecast horizon=6 h2024.11537.36327.594.1
TFTForecast horizon=6 h2024.11543.42332.174.52
AutoARIMAForecast horizon=6 h2024.11555.52311.134.05
DeepARForecast horizon=12 h2024.11556.49402.816.12
ChronosForecast horizon=24 h2024.11588.67264.273.67
SNMForecast horizon=24 h2024.11614.88367.564.86
PatchTSTForecast horizon=24 h2024.11614.88367.564.86
AutoETSForecast horizon=6 h2024.11621.13384.475.3
AutoARIMAForecast horizon=12 h2024.11636.33389.685.11
ChronosForecast horizon=48 h2024.11689.07322.514.58
AutoETSForecast horizon=12 h2024.11690.64437.56.03
AutoARIMAForecast horizon=48 h2024.11750.84486.716.55
TFTForecast horizon=48 h2024.11750.84486.716.55
TFTForecast horizon=24 h2024.11770.19500.046.48
PatchTSTForecast horizon=48 h2024.11906.87578.717.77
DeepARForecast horizon=24 h2024.11937.85701.6910.34
AutoETSForecast horizon=24 h2024.11954.42605.188.18
AutoARIMAForecast horizon=24 h2024.11967.7618.848.03
SNMForecast horizon=1 h2024.111,049.72650.028.73
SNMForecast horizon=6 h2024.111,049.72650.028.73
SNMForecast horizon=12 h2024.111,049.72650.028.73
AutoETSForecast horizon=48 h2024.111,144.52737.6110.17
DeepARForecast horizon=48 h2024.111,213.82918.8213.51
SNMForecast horizon=48 h2024.111,235.83774.1710.55
NPTSForecast horizon=24 h2024.111,254.64888.2412.8
NPTSForecast horizon=6 h2024.111,255.24888.1912.8
NPTSForecast horizon=1 h2024.111,256.53891.1412.84
NPTSForecast horizon=12 h2024.111,258.03891.5512.84
NPTSForecast horizon=48 h2024.111,270.08903.613
CSBAForecast horizon=1 h2024.111,627.481,366.5517.33
CSBAForecast horizon=24 h2024.111,763.261,523.4620.73
TimeLLMForecast horizon=1 h2024.111,800.781,539.0820.14
CSBAForecast horizon=12 h2024.111,827.891,604.4821.27
CSBAForecast horizon=6 h2024.111,833.011,535.2119.85
CSBAForecast horizon=48 h2024.111,871.851,601.2822
TimeLLMForecast horizon=24 h2024.112,721.322,323.7732.52
TimeLLMForecast horizon=48 h2024.112,733.832,241.5130.93
TimeLLMForecast horizon=12 h2024.112,839.642,203.0530.99
TimeLLMForecast horizon=6 h2024.113,435.892,895.8941.28