Load Forecasting on First Competition Dataset
116.99RMSE (MW)Chronos
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChronosForecast horizon=1 h2024.11 | 116.99 | 87.57 | 1.17 | |
| TFTForecast horizon=1 h2024.11 | 214.03 | 154.15 | 2.03 | |
| PatchTSTForecast horizon=1 h2024.11 | 217.55 | 149.48 | 1.99 | |
| AutoARIMAForecast horizon=1 h2024.11 | 296.4 | 172.48 | 2.29 | |
| DeepARForecast horizon=1 h2024.11 | 299.83 | 224.36 | 3.12 | |
| ChronosForecast horizon=6 h2024.11 | 302.74 | 145.88 | 1.97 | |
| ChronosForecast horizon=12 h2024.11 | 355.48 | 173.57 | 2.39 | |
| DeepARForecast horizon=6 h2024.11 | 461.15 | 328.12 | 4.43 | |
| AutoETSForecast horizon=1 h2024.11 | 500.3 | 309.15 | 4.27 | |
| PatchTSTForecast horizon=12 h2024.11 | 527.08 | 303.31 | 3.85 | |
| TFTForecast horizon=12 h2024.11 | 536.55 | 371.41 | 5.16 | |
| PatchTSTForecast horizon=6 h2024.11 | 537.36 | 327.59 | 4.1 | |
| TFTForecast horizon=6 h2024.11 | 543.42 | 332.17 | 4.52 | |
| AutoARIMAForecast horizon=6 h2024.11 | 555.52 | 311.13 | 4.05 | |
| DeepARForecast horizon=12 h2024.11 | 556.49 | 402.81 | 6.12 | |
| ChronosForecast horizon=24 h2024.11 | 588.67 | 264.27 | 3.67 | |
| SNMForecast horizon=24 h2024.11 | 614.88 | 367.56 | 4.86 | |
| PatchTSTForecast horizon=24 h2024.11 | 614.88 | 367.56 | 4.86 | |
| AutoETSForecast horizon=6 h2024.11 | 621.13 | 384.47 | 5.3 | |
| AutoARIMAForecast horizon=12 h2024.11 | 636.33 | 389.68 | 5.11 | |
| ChronosForecast horizon=48 h2024.11 | 689.07 | 322.51 | 4.58 | |
| AutoETSForecast horizon=12 h2024.11 | 690.64 | 437.5 | 6.03 | |
| AutoARIMAForecast horizon=48 h2024.11 | 750.84 | 486.71 | 6.55 | |
| TFTForecast horizon=48 h2024.11 | 750.84 | 486.71 | 6.55 | |
| TFTForecast horizon=24 h2024.11 | 770.19 | 500.04 | 6.48 | |
| PatchTSTForecast horizon=48 h2024.11 | 906.87 | 578.71 | 7.77 | |
| DeepARForecast horizon=24 h2024.11 | 937.85 | 701.69 | 10.34 | |
| AutoETSForecast horizon=24 h2024.11 | 954.42 | 605.18 | 8.18 | |
| AutoARIMAForecast horizon=24 h2024.11 | 967.7 | 618.84 | 8.03 | |
| SNMForecast horizon=1 h2024.11 | 1,049.72 | 650.02 | 8.73 | |
| SNMForecast horizon=6 h2024.11 | 1,049.72 | 650.02 | 8.73 | |
| SNMForecast horizon=12 h2024.11 | 1,049.72 | 650.02 | 8.73 | |
| AutoETSForecast horizon=48 h2024.11 | 1,144.52 | 737.61 | 10.17 | |
| DeepARForecast horizon=48 h2024.11 | 1,213.82 | 918.82 | 13.51 | |
| SNMForecast horizon=48 h2024.11 | 1,235.83 | 774.17 | 10.55 | |
| NPTSForecast horizon=24 h2024.11 | 1,254.64 | 888.24 | 12.8 | |
| NPTSForecast horizon=6 h2024.11 | 1,255.24 | 888.19 | 12.8 | |
| NPTSForecast horizon=1 h2024.11 | 1,256.53 | 891.14 | 12.84 | |
| NPTSForecast horizon=12 h2024.11 | 1,258.03 | 891.55 | 12.84 | |
| NPTSForecast horizon=48 h2024.11 | 1,270.08 | 903.6 | 13 | |
| CSBAForecast horizon=1 h2024.11 | 1,627.48 | 1,366.55 | 17.33 | |
| CSBAForecast horizon=24 h2024.11 | 1,763.26 | 1,523.46 | 20.73 | |
| TimeLLMForecast horizon=1 h2024.11 | 1,800.78 | 1,539.08 | 20.14 | |
| CSBAForecast horizon=12 h2024.11 | 1,827.89 | 1,604.48 | 21.27 | |
| CSBAForecast horizon=6 h2024.11 | 1,833.01 | 1,535.21 | 19.85 | |
| CSBAForecast horizon=48 h2024.11 | 1,871.85 | 1,601.28 | 22 | |
| TimeLLMForecast horizon=24 h2024.11 | 2,721.32 | 2,323.77 | 32.52 | |
| TimeLLMForecast horizon=48 h2024.11 | 2,733.83 | 2,241.51 | 30.93 | |
| TimeLLMForecast horizon=12 h2024.11 | 2,839.64 | 2,203.05 | 30.99 | |
| TimeLLMForecast horizon=6 h2024.11 | 3,435.89 | 2,895.89 | 41.28 |