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Load forecasting on Second Competition Dataset (test)

131.74RMSEChronos
3.5148869.03491,734.5552,600.0751Nov 18, 2024

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
ChronosForecast horizon=1 h2024.11131.74102.291.38
AutoARIMAForecast horizon=1 h2024.11203.4148.611.97
ChronosForecast horizon=6 h2024.11263.41169.662.24
DeepARForecast horizon=1 h2024.11276.9215.773.1
TFTForecast horizon=1 h2024.11285.58223.162.88
ChronosForecast horizon=12 h2024.11303.96193.612.55
PatchTSTForecast horizon=1 h2024.11314.18260.33.54
AutoETSForecast horizon=1 h2024.11347.92243.363.2
DeepARForecast horizon=6 h2024.11381.77294.74.19
PatchTSTForecast horizon=12 h2024.11388.6235.762.97
PatchTSTForecast horizon=6 h2024.11400.25265.23.41
ChronosForecast horizon=24 h2024.11432.8269.483.44
AutoETSForecast horizon=6 h2024.11446.05310.384.09
AutoETSForecast horizon=12 h2024.11476.18332.864.37
ChronosForecast horizon=48 h2024.11555.86351.984.45
TFTForecast horizon=12 h2024.11564.79431.095.87
TFTForecast horizon=6 h2024.11565.79410.045.34
PatchTSTForecast horizon=24 h2024.11608.69395.584.91
AutoETSForecast horizon=24 h2024.11627.07440.615.62
DeepARForecast horizon=12 h2024.11636.45519.587.35
PatchTSTForecast horizon=48 h2024.11667.78476.465.96
SNMForecast horizon=1 h2024.11681.47469.135.98
SNMForecast horizon=6 h2024.11681.47469.135.98
SNMForecast horizon=12 h2024.11681.47469.135.98
SNMForecast horizon=24 h2024.11681.47469.135.98
AutoARIMAForecast horizon=6 h2024.11704.53403.435.17
AutoETSForecast horizon=48 h2024.11724.66517.66.63
SNMForecast horizon=48 h2024.11787.44560.537.2
TFTForecast horizon=48 h2024.11803.25595.27.79
TFTForecast horizon=24 h2024.11838.89635.778.19
AutoARIMAForecast horizon=24 h2024.11859.92546.926.96
AutoARIMAForecast horizon=48 h2024.11959.8630.688.08
NPTSForecast horizon=6 h2024.111,069.39820.2911.31
NPTSForecast horizon=12 h2024.111,070.63822.1111.32
NPTSForecast horizon=24 h2024.111,074.23824.2111.35
NPTSForecast horizon=1 h2024.111,078.32827.0511.39
AutoARIMAForecast horizon=12 h2024.111,080.14515.796.59
NPTSForecast horizon=48 h2024.111,083.71835.111.5
DeepARForecast horizon=24 h2024.111,334.161,107.2515.36
CSBAForecast horizon=1 h2024.111,604.791,437.3619.47
CSBAForecast horizon=24 h2024.111,662.31,420.2120.92
CSBAForecast horizon=48 h2024.111,698.991,447.6721.3
CSBAForecast horizon=6 h2024.111,842.371,641.5422.63
DeepARForecast horizon=48 h2024.111,856.091,470.6820.95
CSBAForecast horizon=12 h2024.111,947.91,800.4325.24
TimeLLMForecast horizon=6 h2024.112,262.211,756.2626.01
TimeLLMForecast horizon=48 h2024.112,270.251,887.2927.55
TimeLLMForecast horizon=1 h2024.112,349.431,962.2623.34
TimeLLMForecast horizon=12 h2024.113,218.92,581.8138.27
TimeLLMForecast horizon=24 h2024.113,337.372,867.1640.51