ResearchBenchmarksUncertainty Quantification on Poisson Model n = 700Follow97.9Coverage Probability (CP)Ensemble72.21278.88185.5592.219Apr 12, 2025Evaluation ResultsMethodMethodLinksCoverage Probability (CP)Bias (f)MAE (f)Bias (psi')MAE (psi')Empirical SDSESE (c)AILEnsemble2025.0497.9-0.10.25-0.040.170.290.37—1.06Naive bp2025.0497.1-0.10.25-0.040.180.30.35—1.03ESM2025.0494.5-0.040.19-0.020.140.230.320.240.72HulC2025.0492.8———————1.37BNN2025.0473.20.260.40.120.280.09——0.92