ResearchBenchmarksUncertainty Quantification on Logistic ModelFollow96.8Calibration Probability (CP)Ensemble64.45672.85381.2589.647Apr 12, 2025Evaluation ResultsMethodMethodLinksCalibration Probability (CP)Bias (f)MAE (f)Bias (PSI')MAE (PSI')Empirical SDStandard ErrorStandard Error (Calibrated)AILEnsemble2025.0496.80.040.380.010.080.470.53—0.41Naive bp2025.0496.70.030.370.010.080.460.52—0.4HulC2025.0494.9———————0.67ESM2025.0492.90.060.260.010.060.310.40.310.26BNN2025.0465.70.010.5500.130.11——0.31