# Uncertainty Quantification on Poisson Model n = 700

Source: [Uncertainty Quantification on Poisson Model n = 700](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/uncertainty-quantification-on-poisson-model-n-700>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-03-18T07:22:39.901Z

Evaluation of model uncertainty quantification performance on the Poisson Model n = 700 dataset, utilizing metrics focused on bias, mean absolute error (MAE), empirical standard deviation (EmpSD), coverage probability (CP), and AIL.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Uncertainty Quantification |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Poisson Model n = 700 |
| Metric | Coverage Probability (CP) |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 5 of 5 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Coverage Probability (CP)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/uncertainty-quantification-on-poisson-model-n-700.md?metric=Coverage%20Probability%20(CP)>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Bias (f)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/uncertainty-quantification-on-poisson-model-n-700.md?metric=Bias%20(f)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE (f)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/uncertainty-quantification-on-poisson-model-n-700.md?metric=MAE%20(f)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Bias (psi')](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/uncertainty-quantification-on-poisson-model-n-700.md?metric=Bias%20(psi%27)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE (psi')](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/uncertainty-quantification-on-poisson-model-n-700.md?metric=MAE%20(psi%27)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Empirical SD](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/uncertainty-quantification-on-poisson-model-n-700.md?metric=Empirical%20SD>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [SE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/uncertainty-quantification-on-poisson-model-n-700.md?metric=SE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [SE (c)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/uncertainty-quantification-on-poisson-model-n-700.md?metric=SE%20(c)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [AIL](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/uncertainty-quantification-on-poisson-model-n-700.md?metric=AIL>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Coverage Probability (CP) | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Ensemble | 97.9 | Not recorded | 68fa5d411e209131ce9d8891 |
| Naive bp | 97.1 | Not recorded | 68fa5d411e209131ce9d8891 |
| ESM | 94.5 | Not recorded | 68fa5d411e209131ce9d8891 |
| HulC | 92.8 | Not recorded | 68fa5d411e209131ce9d8891 |
| BNN | 73.2 | Not recorded | 68fa5d411e209131ce9d8891 |

### Ensemble

Coverage Probability (CP): 97.9. Result ID: 69ba52a847f34ce924a3ca42.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5d411e209131ce9d8891.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa63bc1e209131cea0084f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Naive bp

Coverage Probability (CP): 97.1. Result ID: 69ba52a847f34ce924a3ca43.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5d411e209131ce9d8891.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ESM

Coverage Probability (CP): 94.5. Result ID: 69ba52a847f34ce924a3ca44.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5d411e209131ce9d8891.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5d411e209131ce9d8891.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### HulC

Coverage Probability (CP): 92.8. Result ID: 69ba52a847f34ce924a3ca40.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5d411e209131ce9d8891.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5ae11e209131ce9c3810.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### BNN

Coverage Probability (CP): 73.2. Result ID: 69ba52a847f34ce924a3ca41.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5d411e209131ce9d8891.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b611e209131cea2de52.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/sylydya/Sparse-Deep-Learning-A-New-Framework-Immuneto-Local-Traps-and-Miscalibration>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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