Time-series interval forecasting on Temperature
91CoverageACI
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACIBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 91 | — | 8.49 | |
| OGDBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.4 | 7.54 | 7.6 | |
| LQTBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.3 | 6.78 | 6 | |
| LQTBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.2 | 8.57 | 7.3 | |
| ACIBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.2 | — | 6.48 | |
| decay-OGDBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 8.84 | 8.35 | |
| PIDBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 7.65 | 7.65 | |
| COPBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 7.05 | 7.07 | |
| OGDBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 6.82 | 6.1 | |
| SF-OGDBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 6.37 | 5.91 | |
| ECIBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 6.39 | 6.1 | |
| SF-OGDBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 6.75 | 6.43 | |
| LQTBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 7.51 | 7.08 | |
| original ECI methodRegressor=AR2025.10 | 90.1 | 6.39 | 6.1 | |
| SF-OGDBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 7.17 | 7.08 | |
| ECIBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 7.2 | 7.22 | |
| ACIBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | — | 6.06 | |
| decay-OGDBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 6.36 | 5.67 | |
| OGDBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 6.36 | 6.3 | |
| ECIBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 6.41 | 6.27 | |
| COPBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 6.27 | 6.18 | |
| original ECI methodRegressor=Theta2025.10 | 90 | 6.41 | 6.27 | |
| COPBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 89.9 | 5.85 | 5.58 | |
| decay-OGDBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 89.9 | 6.56 | 6.18 | |
| PIDBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 89.7 | 8.92 | 8.86 | |
| PIDBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 89.7 | 8.77 | 8.79 |