Online Conformal Prediction on Heavy-tailed
92.8CoverageLQT
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LQTBase Predictor=Theta2025.12 | 92.8 | 15.79 | 13.74 | |
| LQTBase Predictor=Prophet2025.12 | 92 | 13.21 | 12.32 | |
| decay-OGDBase Predictor=Theta2025.12 | 90.8 | 10.1 | 9.94 | |
| COPBase Predictor=Theta2025.12 | 90.4 | 9.87 | 10.03 | |
| ACIBase Predictor=Prophet2025.12 | 90.3 | — | 10.03 | |
| decay-OGDBase Predictor=Prophet2025.12 | 90.3 | 9.97 | 10.01 | |
| ACIBase Predictor=Theta2025.12 | 90.3 | — | 9.82 | |
| ACIBase Predictor=AR2025.12 | 90.2 | — | 10.01 | |
| OGDBase Predictor=Theta2025.12 | 90.2 | 10.18 | 10.25 | |
| OGDBase Predictor=Prophet2025.12 | 90 | 9.94 | 9.95 | |
| SF-OGDBase Predictor=Prophet2025.12 | 90 | 15.22 | 14.05 | |
| OGDBase Predictor=AR2025.12 | 90 | 9.91 | 9.95 | |
| SF-OGDBase Predictor=AR2025.12 | 90 | 15.1 | 13.93 | |
| ECIBase Predictor=AR2025.12 | 90 | 10.34 | 10.27 | |
| SF-OGDBase Predictor=Theta2025.12 | 90 | 15.43 | 13.91 | |
| ECIBase Predictor=Theta2025.12 | 90 | 10.55 | 10.36 | |
| ECIBase Predictor=Prophet2025.12 | 89.9 | 10.54 | 10.49 | |
| decay-OGDBase Predictor=AR2025.12 | 89.9 | 9.69 | 9.77 | |
| COPBase Predictor=AR2025.12 | 89.9 | 10.38 | 10.27 | |
| COPBase Predictor=Prophet2025.12 | 89.8 | 9.56 | 9.79 | |
| PIDBase Predictor=Prophet2025.12 | 89.7 | 13.6 | 11.47 | |
| PIDBase Predictor=AR2025.12 | 89.6 | 13.14 | 11.36 | |
| PIDBase Predictor=Theta2025.12 | 89.6 | 13.12 | 11.19 | |
| LQTBase Predictor=AR2025.12 | 89.4 | 10.13 | 10.09 |