Online Conformal Prediction on Distribution Drift
90.7CoverageLQT
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LQTBase Model=Prophet, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90.7 | 9.47 | 8.53 | |
| COPBase Model=Prophet, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90.5 | 6.77 | 6.7 | |
| LQTBase Model=AR, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90.5 | 8.56 | 8 | |
| LQTBase Model=Theta, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90.5 | 9.5 | 8.55 | |
| COPBase Model=Theta, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90.5 | 7.12 | 6.87 | |
| decay-OGDBase Model=Prophet, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90.4 | 7.38 | 6.76 | |
| OGDBase Model=Prophet, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90.2 | 7.04 | 6.91 | |
| OGDBase Model=Theta, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90.2 | 7.08 | 6.98 | |
| decay-OGDBase Model=Theta, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90.2 | 7.24 | 6.74 | |
| OGDBase Model=AR, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 6.89 | 6.84 | |
| ECIBase Model=Theta, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 7.1 | 6.93 | |
| SF-OGDBase Model=Prophet, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90 | 11.5 | 10.35 | |
| ECIBase Model=Prophet, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90 | 7.01 | 6.84 | |
| SF-OGDBase Model=AR, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90 | 11.44 | 10.28 | |
| decay-OGDBase Model=AR, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90 | 6.94 | 6.6 | |
| SF-OGDBase Model=Theta, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 90 | 11.5 | 10.28 | |
| ECIBase Model=AR, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 89.9 | 6.83 | 6.81 | |
| COPBase Model=AR, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 89.9 | 6.67 | 6.67 | |
| ACIBase Model=Prophet, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 89.8 | — | 6.61 | |
| ACIBase Model=Theta, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 89.8 | — | 6.64 | |
| PIDBase Model=Prophet, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 89.7 | 9.59 | 7.79 | |
| ACIBase Model=AR, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 89.7 | — | 6.53 | |
| PIDBase Model=Theta, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 89.7 | 9.7 | 7.86 | |
| PIDBase Model=AR, Nominal level (alpha)=10%2025.12 | 89.6 | 9.67 | 7.75 |