Time-series Interval Forecasting on Electricity Demand
90.3CoverageSF-OGD
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF-OGDBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.3 | 0.106 | 0.095 | |
| ACIBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.2 | — | 0.055 | |
| ACIBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | — | 0.443 | |
| decay-OGDBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 0.531 | 0.521 | |
| PIDBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 0.207 | 0.177 | |
| LQTBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 0.221 | 0.218 | |
| COPBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 0.385 | 0.376 | |
| ACIBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | — | 0.105 | |
| decay-OGDBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 0.122 | 0.099 | |
| LQTBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 0.144 | 0.138 | |
| OGDBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90.1 | 0.081 | 0.075 | |
| ECIBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 0.384 | 0.382 | |
| OGDBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 0.133 | 0.115 | |
| SF-OGDBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 0.129 | 0.116 | |
| PIDBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 0.434 | 0.432 | |
| ECIBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 0.117 | 0.098 | |
| COPBase forecasting model=AR, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 0.117 | 0.098 | |
| decay-OGDBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.059 | |
| LQTBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 90 | 0.113 | 0.111 | |
| SF-OGDBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 89.9 | 0.419 | 0.426 | |
| PIDBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 89.9 | 0.413 | 0.411 | |
| ECIBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 89.9 | 0.071 | 0.055 | |
| OGDBase forecasting model=Prophet, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 89.8 | 0.433 | 0.435 | |
| COPBase forecasting model=Theta, Nominal level alpha=10%2025.12 | 89.8 | 0.069 | 0.052 |