Time Series Forecasting on Weather (test)
0.026MSERandom
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RandomSchedule=Baby-Steps2026.03 | 0.026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| k-NNSchedule=Baby-Steps2026.03 | 0.026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KDESchedule=Baby-Steps2026.03 | 0.029 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Convex-ranksSchedule=Baby-Steps2026.03 | 0.029 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GridSchedule=Baby-Steps2026.03 | 0.029 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| STLSchedule=Baby-Steps2026.03 | 0.031 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Convex-valueSchedule=Baby-Steps2026.03 | 0.038 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Loss-basedSchedule=Baby-Steps2026.03 | 0.077 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RRRHorizon (H)=96, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Root PurgeHorizon (H)=96, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.142 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon (H)=96, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.144 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cross-RAGzero-shot=true, input length=512, forecasting horizon=64, backbone=Chronos-Bolt, k=15, lambda=0.72026.03 | 0.144 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cross-RAGmode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.144 | — | 0.178 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SFFData proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.144 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SFFData proportion=50%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1441 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SFFData proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1443 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon=962023.07 | 0.145 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SFFData proportion=75%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1466 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FFData proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1472 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GridSchedule=One-Pass2026.03 | 0.148 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FilterNetHorizon (H)=96, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.149 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Time-MoEmode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.149 | — | 0.184 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TrioHorizon=962026.06 | 0.149 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon (H)=96, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.151 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TS-RAGzero-shot=true, input length=512, forecasting horizon=64, k=52026.03 | 0.151 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FFData proportion=50%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1523 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TFSData proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1526 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chronos-boltmode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.153 | — | 0.183 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TFSData proportion=50%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1538 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TTMmode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.154 | — | 0.189 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixer++Horizon=962026.06 | 0.155 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TFSData proportion=75%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1559 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| CaDReLength=96, Input length=962025.01 | 0.157 | — | 0.203 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| LightGTS2025.05 | 0.157 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.157 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N-HiTSHorizon=962023.07 | 0.158 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SpecReTFPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MoiraiModel size=base2025.05 | 0.161 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FFData proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1612 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D-CTNetHorizon=962025.11 | 0.162 | — | 0.201 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TIMEKANHorizon=962026.06 | 0.162 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TFSData proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1627 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixerHorizon=962026.06 | 0.163 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RAFTPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.165 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FFData proportion=75%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1665 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N-BEATSHorizon=962023.07 | 0.167 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Patch-wiseHorizon=962026.06 | 0.167 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerLength=96, Input length=962025.01 | 0.168 | — | 0.214 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D³VAEPrediction Length (l_y)=82023.01 | 0.169 | 0.357 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Loss-basedSchedule=One-Pass2026.03 | 0.169 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| k-NNSchedule=One-Pass2026.03 | 0.169 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.169 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TSLANetHorizon (H)=96, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.171 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moiraimode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.171 | — | 0.191 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon (H)=96, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.172 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SparseTSFHorizon (H)=96, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.172 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FITSLength=96, Input length=962025.01 | 0.172 | — | 0.221 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| StationaryPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.172 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearHorizon (H)=96, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.174 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerHorizon=962026.06 | 0.174 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Convex-ranksSchedule=One-Pass2026.03 | 0.177 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MOIRAIHorizon=962026.06 | 0.177 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.177 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RAFzero-shot=true, input length=512, forecasting horizon=642026.03 | 0.178 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AarenHorizon=962024.05 | 0.18 | — | 0.23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TransformerHorizon=962024.05 | 0.18 | — | 0.23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MOMENTmode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.18 | — | 0.238 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetLength=96, Input length=962025.01 | 0.18 | — | 0.231 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RRRHorizon (H)=192, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.182 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Root PurgeHorizon (H)=192, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.186 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=962026.06 | 0.186 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D³VAEPrediction Length (l_y)=162023.01 | 0.187 | 0.361 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.188 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon (H)=192, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.188 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chronosmode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.19 | — | 0.211 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerLength=192, Input length=962025.01 | 0.193 | — | 0.241 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MoiraiModel size=small2025.05 | 0.193 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FilterNetHorizon (H)=192, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.194 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon (H)=192, Lookback Window (L)=7202025.09 | 0.195 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearHorizon=962026.06 | 0.195 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RandomSchedule=One-Pass2026.03 | 0.196 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MICNPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.197 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MICNLength=96, Input length=962025.01 | 0.199 | — | 0.256 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| StationaryPrediction Length=1922026.06 | 0.199 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No-curriculumSchedule=One-Pass2026.03 | 0.201 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No-curriculumSchedule=Baby-Steps2026.03 | 0.201 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixer++Horizon=1922026.06 | 0.201 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GPHTzero-shot=true, horizon (H)=962024.02 | 0.202 | — | 0.244 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=1922026.06 | 0.206 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTzero-shot=true, horizon (H)=962024.02 | 0.207 | — | 0.259 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| CaDReLength=192, Input length=962025.01 | 0.207 | — | 0.248 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TIMEKANHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.207 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixerHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.208 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KDESchedule=One-Pass2026.03 | 0.209 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N-HiTSHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.211 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=1922026.06 | 0.211 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| B-TCVAEPrediction Length (l_y)=162023.01 | 0.212 | 0.388 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetLength=192, Input length=962025.01 | 0.212 | — | 0.265 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TrioHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.212 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SpecReTFPrediction Length=1922026.06 | 0.213 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |