Time Series Forecasting on M3 Quarterly
0.07MASEMoirai Large
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| Moirai Large2025.10 | 0.07 | |
| Auto ETS2025.10 | 0.07 | |
| ChromaModel Size=tiny, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Best2025.10 | 0.072 | |
| ChromaModel Size=tiny, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Ensemble2025.10 | 0.072 | |
| Chronos Large2025.10 | 0.073 | |
| ChromaModel Size=4m, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Ensemble2025.10 | 0.075 | |
| TimesFM 2.02025.10 | 0.075 | |
| Chronos Bolt Base2025.10 | 0.076 | |
| Auto ARIMA2025.10 | 0.077 | |
| ChromaModel Size=4m, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Best2025.10 | 0.078 | |
| Chronos Bolt Mini2025.10 | 0.078 | |
| Seasonal Naive2025.10 | 0.101 | |
| ScalingArchitecture=MLP2026.01 | 1.112 | |
| ScalingArchitecture=NHITS2026.01 | 1.131 | |
| T-WarpArchitecture=MLP2026.01 | 1.132 | |
| DBAArchitecture=NHITS2026.01 | 1.136 | |
| OriginalArchitecture=MLP2026.01 | 1.143 | |
| DBAArchitecture=KAN2026.01 | 1.146 | |
| JitterArchitecture=MLP2026.01 | 1.148 | |
| DBAArchitecture=MLP2026.01 | 1.152 | |
| MBBArchitecture=MLP2026.01 | 1.154 | |
| M-WarpArchitecture=MLP2026.01 | 1.159 | |
| MBBArchitecture=NHITS2026.01 | 1.165 | |
| ScalingArchitecture=KAN2026.01 | 1.165 | |
| M-WarpArchitecture=NHITS2026.01 | 1.181 | |
| GrasyndaArchitecture=MLP2026.01 | 1.181 | |
| JitterArchitecture=NHITS2026.01 | 1.185 | |
| T-WarpArchitecture=NHITS2026.01 | 1.193 | |
| TSMixupArchitecture=NHITS2026.01 | 1.193 | |
| OriginalArchitecture=NHITS2026.01 | 1.199 | |
| T-WarpArchitecture=KAN2026.01 | 1.206 | |
| GrasyndaArchitecture=KAN2026.01 | 1.207 | |
| TSMixupArchitecture=MLP2026.01 | 1.209 | |
| M-WarpArchitecture=KAN2026.01 | 1.213 | |
| GrasyndaArchitecture=NHITS2026.01 | 1.22 | |
| MBBArchitecture=KAN2026.01 | 1.221 | |
| OriginalArchitecture=KAN2026.01 | 1.223 | |
| JitterArchitecture=KAN2026.01 | 1.229 | |
| TSMixupArchitecture=KAN2026.01 | 1.271 | |
| SNaiveArchitecture=NHITS2026.01 | 1.417 | |
| SNaiveArchitecture=MLP2026.01 | 1.417 | |
| SNaiveArchitecture=KAN2026.01 | 1.417 |