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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Time Series Forecasting on M3 Monthly

0.089MASETimesFM 2.0
0.048920.319460.590.86054Oct 7, 2025Oct 25, 2025Nov 13, 2025Dec 2, 2025Dec 20, 2025Jan 8, 2026Jan 27, 2026
Updated 8mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
TimesFM 2.02025.100.089
ChromaModel Size=tiny, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Best2025.100.093
ChromaModel Size=tiny, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Ensemble2025.100.093
Chronos Bolt Base2025.100.093
Auto ETS2025.100.093
ChromaModel Size=4m, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Best2025.100.094
ChromaModel Size=4m, Frequency Awareness=true, Aggregation Strategy=Ensemble2025.100.094
Chronos Bolt Mini2025.100.095
Chronos Large2025.100.095
Moirai Large2025.100.097
Auto ARIMA2025.100.098
Seasonal Naive2025.100.149
T-WarpArchitecture=NHITS2026.010.757
T-WarpArchitecture=MLP2026.010.757
GrasyndaArchitecture=NHITS2026.010.759
JitterArchitecture=MLP2026.010.76
TSMixupArchitecture=MLP2026.010.761
MBBArchitecture=NHITS2026.010.764
MBBArchitecture=MLP2026.010.765
ScalingArchitecture=MLP2026.010.767
GrasyndaArchitecture=MLP2026.010.768
ScalingArchitecture=NHITS2026.010.77
TSMixupArchitecture=NHITS2026.010.77
M-WarpArchitecture=NHITS2026.010.773
MBBArchitecture=KAN2026.010.773
OriginalArchitecture=MLP2026.010.774
TSMixupArchitecture=KAN2026.010.775
DBAArchitecture=MLP2026.010.777
DBAArchitecture=KAN2026.010.777
DBAArchitecture=NHITS2026.010.779
GrasyndaArchitecture=KAN2026.010.779
M-WarpArchitecture=MLP2026.010.78
JitterArchitecture=KAN2026.010.783
OriginalArchitecture=KAN2026.010.784
JitterArchitecture=NHITS2026.010.786
M-WarpArchitecture=KAN2026.010.796
ScalingArchitecture=KAN2026.010.797
T-WarpArchitecture=KAN2026.010.798
OriginalArchitecture=NHITS2026.010.801
SNaiveArchitecture=NHITS2026.011.091
SNaiveArchitecture=MLP2026.011.091
SNaiveArchitecture=KAN2026.011.091