Time Series Forecasting on ETTm2 (MSE, MAE, Imp. MSE)
0.0224Mean Squared Error (MSE)ORCA
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORCABase Model=Chronos-2, Adaptation Strategy=Refined2026.06 | 0.0224 | — | — | -8.7 | |
| ORCABase Model=TimesFM-2.5, Adaptation Strategy=Refined2026.06 | 0.0231 | — | — | -10.9 | |
| ORCABase Model=Moirai-2, Adaptation Strategy=Refined2026.06 | 0.0232 | — | — | -15.3 | |
| ORCABase Model=Sundial, Adaptation Strategy=Refined2026.06 | 0.0232 | — | — | -6.5 | |
| ORCABase Model=TiRex, Adaptation Strategy=Refined2026.06 | 0.0233 | — | — | -11.4 | |
| Chronos-2Adaptation Strategy=Vanilla2026.06 | 0.0245 | — | — | — | |
| SundialAdaptation Strategy=Vanilla2026.06 | 0.0248 | — | — | — | |
| TimesFM-2.5Adaptation Strategy=Vanilla2026.06 | 0.026 | — | — | — | |
| TiRexAdaptation Strategy=Vanilla2026.06 | 0.0263 | — | — | — | |
| Moirai-2Adaptation Strategy=Vanilla2026.06 | 0.0274 | — | — | — | |
| CARD L=720 + CMBackbone=CARD, Input window size (L)=720, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.25 | 0.308 | 0.8 | — | |
| CARD L=720Backbone=CARD, Input window size (L)=720, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.252 | 0.309 | — | — | |
| PRformer + CMBackbone=PRformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.262 | 0.317 | 1.5 | — | |
| Minusformer L=336 + CMBackbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=336, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.263 | 0.322 | 4.4 | — | |
| PRformerBackbone=PRformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.266 | 0.31 | — | — | |
| CARD L=96 + CMBackbone=CARD, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.27 | 0.313 | 0.7 | — | |
| CARD L=96Backbone=CARD, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.272 | 0.314 | — | — | |
| Minusformer L=336Backbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=336, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.275 | 0.328 | — | — | |
| Minusformer L=96 + CMBackbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.283 | 0.327 | 0.7 | — | |
| Minusformer L=96Backbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.285 | 0.328 | — | — | |
| iTransformer + CMBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.289 | 0.335 | 1.4 | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.293 | 0.337 | — | — |