Time Series Forecasting on ETTm1 (MSE, MAE, Imp. (MSE))
0.2014MSEORCA
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORCABase Model=Sundial, Adaptation Strategy=Refined2026.06 | 0.2014 | — | — | -4.2 | |
| ORCABase Model=Chronos-2, Adaptation Strategy=Refined2026.06 | 0.2038 | — | — | -7.2 | |
| ORCABase Model=TimesFM-2.5, Adaptation Strategy=Refined2026.06 | 0.2053 | — | — | -7.9 | |
| SundialAdaptation Strategy=Vanilla2026.06 | 0.2103 | — | — | — | |
| ORCABase Model=TiRex, Adaptation Strategy=Refined2026.06 | 0.2149 | — | — | -16.2 | |
| ORCABase Model=Moirai-2, Adaptation Strategy=Refined2026.06 | 0.2164 | — | — | -14.7 | |
| Chronos-2Adaptation Strategy=Vanilla2026.06 | 0.2197 | — | — | — | |
| TimesFM-2.5Adaptation Strategy=Vanilla2026.06 | 0.2229 | — | — | — | |
| Moirai-2Adaptation Strategy=Vanilla2026.06 | 0.2538 | — | — | — | |
| TiRexAdaptation Strategy=Vanilla2026.06 | 0.2564 | — | — | — | |
| PRformer + CMBackbone=PRformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.343 | 0.371 | 2.6 | — | |
| CARD L=720 + CMBackbone=CARD, Input window size (L)=720, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.347 | 0.369 | 0.9 | — | |
| CARD L=720Backbone=CARD, Input window size (L)=720, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.35 | 0.37 | — | — | |
| PRformerBackbone=PRformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.352 | 0.376 | — | — | |
| Minusformer L=336 + CMBackbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=336, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.361 | 0.389 | 2.2 | — | |
| Minusformer L=336Backbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=336, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.369 | 0.393 | — | — | |
| CARD L=96 + CMBackbone=CARD, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.379 | 0.381 | 1.1 | — | |
| CARD L=96Backbone=CARD, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.383 | 0.382 | — | — | |
| iTransformer + CMBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.398 | 0.406 | 2.5 | — | |
| Minusformer L=96 + CMBackbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.404 | 0.408 | 1.9 | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.408 | 0.412 | — | — | |
| Minusformer L=96Backbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.416 | 0.412 | — | — |