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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Time Series Forecasting on Electricity (MSE, MAE)

0.105MSERIDDE
0.10240.119950.13750.15505Jun 20, 2024Oct 19, 2024Feb 17, 2025Jun 18, 2025Oct 17, 2025Feb 15, 2026Jun 16, 2026
Updated 4mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
RIDDEZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=642026.050.1050.193
Chronos-boltZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=642026.050.1130.2
Time-MoEZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=642026.050.1140.203
NPMixerPrediction Length=962026.050.1280.196
TimeMixerPrediction Length=962026.050.1290.224
PatchTSTPrediction Length=962026.050.1290.222
TSMixerPrediction Length=962026.050.1310.229
FlowMixerh=962025.050.1310.226
McWCPrediction Horizon=962026.060.1350.227
iTransformerH=96, Variant=+Ours2026.020.1360.226
TimeMixerPrediction Length=1922026.050.140.22
DLinearPrediction Length=962026.050.140.237
DySCoBase Model=TimeMixer2026.040.1410.221
Super-LinearHorizon=96, Model Size=2.5M, Zero-shot=true2025.090.1410.239
Timer-XLHorizon=96, Model Size=84M, Zero-shot=true2025.090.1410.237
TimesNetH=96, Variant=+Ours2026.020.1420.241
LTSM-BundlePrediction Length=96, Few-shot data percentage=5%2024.060.1450.247
ChronosZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=642026.050.1460.224
PatchTSTPrediction Length=1922026.050.1470.24
SDEPrediction Horizon=962026.060.1470.245
iTransformerH=96, Variant=Original2026.020.1480.24
iTransformerType=Expert, Horizon=962026.040.1480.24
iTransformerPrediction Horizon=962026.060.1480.24
PULSELook-back window length (T)=3362026.050.1490.246
PULSELook-back window length (T)=7202026.050.1490.25
CrossformerPrediction Length=962026.050.150.251
PULSELook-back window length (T)=5122026.050.150.249
RMSMH=962026.020.1510.236
DySCoBase Model=iTransformer2026.040.1510.243
NPMixerPrediction Length=1922026.050.1510.245
TSMixerPrediction Length=1922026.050.1510.246
PatchTSTH=96, Variant=+Ours2026.020.1520.236
DLinearH=96, Variant=+Ours2026.020.1520.236
DySCoBase Model=PatchTST2026.040.1520.231
McWCPrediction Horizon=1922026.060.1520.242
DLinearPrediction Length=1922026.050.1530.249
SEMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.020.1540.249
FiLMPrediction Length=962026.050.1540.267
ChronosHorizon=96, Model Size=201M, Zero-shot=true2025.090.1540.231
RMMH=962026.020.1550.239
Basic(2440)Base Model=iTransformer, Input Length=24402026.040.1550.253
CFPTLook-back window length (T)=3362026.050.1550.249
CFPTLook-back window length (T)=5122026.050.1550.249
CFPTLook-back window length (T)=7202026.050.1550.25
ModernTCNAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.020.1560.252
TimesNetH=192, Variant=+Ours2026.020.1560.254
NPMixerPrediction Length=Avg2026.050.1560.24
TimeMixerPrediction Length=Avg2026.050.1560.246
SSDAForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2026.050.1560.25
SERAFinput time series length=720, horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (averaged)2026.060.1560.257
TimeMixerPrediction Horizon=962026.060.1560.247
CycleNetLook-back window length (T)=5122026.050.1570.251
CycleNetLook-back window length (T)=7202026.050.1570.25
Super-LinearHorizon=192, Model Size=2.5M, Zero-shot=true2025.090.1570.253
CycleNetinput time series length=720, horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (averaged)2026.060.1570.252
CycleNetLook-back window length (T)=3362026.050.1580.25
OliviaPrediction Length=96, Model Size=5.1M, Pre-training Data Size=67M, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.050.1580.26
iTransformerH=192, Variant=+Ours2026.020.1590.249
PatchTSTPrediction Length=Avg2026.050.1590.253
VisionTSForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2026.050.1590.25
Timer-XLHorizon=192, Model Size=84M, Zero-shot=true2025.090.1590.254
TSMixerPrediction Length=Avg2026.050.160.257
MoiraiHorizon=96, Model Size=91M, Zero-shot=true2025.090.160.25
RAFTinput time series length=720, horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (averaged)2026.060.160.259
FLAME SmallEvaluation Protocol=Full-shot, Prediction Length=Avg2025.120.1610.249
Deform.TSTAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.020.1610.261
TSMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.020.1610.255
TimeMixerPrediction Length=3362026.050.1610.255
TSMixerPrediction Length=3362026.050.1610.261
CrossformerPrediction Length=1922026.050.1610.26
SDEPrediction Horizon=1922026.060.1610.257
DLinearAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.020.1620.262
iTransformerH=192, Variant=Original2026.020.1620.253
Basic(best)Base Model=PatchTST, Input Length=optimal2026.040.1620.255
RMSMH=1922026.020.1630.247
PatchTSTPrediction Length=3362026.050.1630.259
TimeXerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.020.1640.269
PatchTSTAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.020.1640.258
TimeMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.020.1640.258
PatchTSTH=192, Variant=+Ours2026.020.1640.247
DLinearH=192, Variant=+Ours2026.020.1640.247
Basic(best)Base Model=iTransformer, Input Length=optimal2026.040.1640.258
FiLMPrediction Length=1922026.050.1640.258
iTransformerPrediction Horizon=1922026.060.1640.256
TimeBridge + DPADBackbone=TimeBridge, DPAD Enhancement=true, Look-back length=96, Prediction length=96, 192, 336, 7202026.010.1650.256
ItransformerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.020.1650.266
RMMH=1922026.020.1650.249
Basic(best)Base Model=TimeMixer, Input Length=optimal2026.040.1660.257
DLinearPrediction Length=Avg2026.050.1660.264
McWCPrediction Horizon=avg2026.060.1660.255
WPMixerPrediction Horizon=962026.060.1660.26
TimesNetH=96, Variant=Original2026.020.1680.272
TimesNetPrediction Length=962026.050.1680.272
SEMPOPrediction Length=96, Model Size=6.5M, Pre-training Data Size=83M, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.050.1680.271
TimeXerPrediction Length=Avg2025.120.1690.262
TimesNetH=336, Variant=+Ours2026.020.1690.269
DLinearPrediction Length=3362026.050.1690.267
TimeMixerinput time series length=720, horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (averaged)2026.060.1690.268
iTransformer + DPADBackbone=iTransformer, DPAD Enhancement=true, Look-back length=96, Prediction length=96, 192, 336, 7202026.010.170.261
TimeXer + DPADBackbone=TimeXer, DPAD Enhancement=true, Look-back length=96, Prediction length=96, 192, 336, 7202026.010.170.268