Time Series Forecasting on Electricity (MSE, MAE)
0.105MSERIDDE
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| RIDDEZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=642026.05 | 0.105 | 0.193 | |
| Chronos-boltZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=642026.05 | 0.113 | 0.2 | |
| Time-MoEZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=642026.05 | 0.114 | 0.203 | |
| NPMixerPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.128 | 0.196 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.129 | 0.224 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.129 | 0.222 | |
| TSMixerPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.131 | 0.229 | |
| FlowMixerh=962025.05 | 0.131 | 0.226 | |
| McWCPrediction Horizon=962026.06 | 0.135 | 0.227 | |
| iTransformerH=96, Variant=+Ours2026.02 | 0.136 | 0.226 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=1922026.05 | 0.14 | 0.22 | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.14 | 0.237 | |
| DySCoBase Model=TimeMixer2026.04 | 0.141 | 0.221 | |
| Super-LinearHorizon=96, Model Size=2.5M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.141 | 0.239 | |
| Timer-XLHorizon=96, Model Size=84M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.141 | 0.237 | |
| TimesNetH=96, Variant=+Ours2026.02 | 0.142 | 0.241 | |
| LTSM-BundlePrediction Length=96, Few-shot data percentage=5%2024.06 | 0.145 | 0.247 | |
| ChronosZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=642026.05 | 0.146 | 0.224 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=1922026.05 | 0.147 | 0.24 | |
| SDEPrediction Horizon=962026.06 | 0.147 | 0.245 | |
| iTransformerH=96, Variant=Original2026.02 | 0.148 | 0.24 | |
| iTransformerType=Expert, Horizon=962026.04 | 0.148 | 0.24 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=962026.06 | 0.148 | 0.24 | |
| PULSELook-back window length (T)=3362026.05 | 0.149 | 0.246 | |
| PULSELook-back window length (T)=7202026.05 | 0.149 | 0.25 | |
| CrossformerPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.15 | 0.251 | |
| PULSELook-back window length (T)=5122026.05 | 0.15 | 0.249 | |
| RMSMH=962026.02 | 0.151 | 0.236 | |
| DySCoBase Model=iTransformer2026.04 | 0.151 | 0.243 | |
| NPMixerPrediction Length=1922026.05 | 0.151 | 0.245 | |
| TSMixerPrediction Length=1922026.05 | 0.151 | 0.246 | |
| PatchTSTH=96, Variant=+Ours2026.02 | 0.152 | 0.236 | |
| DLinearH=96, Variant=+Ours2026.02 | 0.152 | 0.236 | |
| DySCoBase Model=PatchTST2026.04 | 0.152 | 0.231 | |
| McWCPrediction Horizon=1922026.06 | 0.152 | 0.242 | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=1922026.05 | 0.153 | 0.249 | |
| SEMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.154 | 0.249 | |
| FiLMPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.154 | 0.267 | |
| ChronosHorizon=96, Model Size=201M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.154 | 0.231 | |
| RMMH=962026.02 | 0.155 | 0.239 | |
| Basic(2440)Base Model=iTransformer, Input Length=24402026.04 | 0.155 | 0.253 | |
| CFPTLook-back window length (T)=3362026.05 | 0.155 | 0.249 | |
| CFPTLook-back window length (T)=5122026.05 | 0.155 | 0.249 | |
| CFPTLook-back window length (T)=7202026.05 | 0.155 | 0.25 | |
| ModernTCNAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.156 | 0.252 | |
| TimesNetH=192, Variant=+Ours2026.02 | 0.156 | 0.254 | |
| NPMixerPrediction Length=Avg2026.05 | 0.156 | 0.24 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=Avg2026.05 | 0.156 | 0.246 | |
| SSDAForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2026.05 | 0.156 | 0.25 | |
| SERAFinput time series length=720, horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (averaged)2026.06 | 0.156 | 0.257 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Horizon=962026.06 | 0.156 | 0.247 | |
| CycleNetLook-back window length (T)=5122026.05 | 0.157 | 0.251 | |
| CycleNetLook-back window length (T)=7202026.05 | 0.157 | 0.25 | |
| Super-LinearHorizon=192, Model Size=2.5M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.157 | 0.253 | |
| CycleNetinput time series length=720, horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (averaged)2026.06 | 0.157 | 0.252 | |
| CycleNetLook-back window length (T)=3362026.05 | 0.158 | 0.25 | |
| OliviaPrediction Length=96, Model Size=5.1M, Pre-training Data Size=67M, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.05 | 0.158 | 0.26 | |
| iTransformerH=192, Variant=+Ours2026.02 | 0.159 | 0.249 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=Avg2026.05 | 0.159 | 0.253 | |
| VisionTSForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2026.05 | 0.159 | 0.25 | |
| Timer-XLHorizon=192, Model Size=84M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.159 | 0.254 | |
| TSMixerPrediction Length=Avg2026.05 | 0.16 | 0.257 | |
| MoiraiHorizon=96, Model Size=91M, Zero-shot=true2025.09 | 0.16 | 0.25 | |
| RAFTinput time series length=720, horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (averaged)2026.06 | 0.16 | 0.259 | |
| FLAME SmallEvaluation Protocol=Full-shot, Prediction Length=Avg2025.12 | 0.161 | 0.249 | |
| Deform.TSTAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.161 | 0.261 | |
| TSMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.161 | 0.255 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=3362026.05 | 0.161 | 0.255 | |
| TSMixerPrediction Length=3362026.05 | 0.161 | 0.261 | |
| CrossformerPrediction Length=1922026.05 | 0.161 | 0.26 | |
| SDEPrediction Horizon=1922026.06 | 0.161 | 0.257 | |
| DLinearAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.162 | 0.262 | |
| iTransformerH=192, Variant=Original2026.02 | 0.162 | 0.253 | |
| Basic(best)Base Model=PatchTST, Input Length=optimal2026.04 | 0.162 | 0.255 | |
| RMSMH=1922026.02 | 0.163 | 0.247 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=3362026.05 | 0.163 | 0.259 | |
| TimeXerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.164 | 0.269 | |
| PatchTSTAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.164 | 0.258 | |
| TimeMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.164 | 0.258 | |
| PatchTSTH=192, Variant=+Ours2026.02 | 0.164 | 0.247 | |
| DLinearH=192, Variant=+Ours2026.02 | 0.164 | 0.247 | |
| Basic(best)Base Model=iTransformer, Input Length=optimal2026.04 | 0.164 | 0.258 | |
| FiLMPrediction Length=1922026.05 | 0.164 | 0.258 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon=1922026.06 | 0.164 | 0.256 | |
| TimeBridge + DPADBackbone=TimeBridge, DPAD Enhancement=true, Look-back length=96, Prediction length=96, 192, 336, 7202026.01 | 0.165 | 0.256 | |
| ItransformerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.165 | 0.266 | |
| RMMH=1922026.02 | 0.165 | 0.249 | |
| Basic(best)Base Model=TimeMixer, Input Length=optimal2026.04 | 0.166 | 0.257 | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=Avg2026.05 | 0.166 | 0.264 | |
| McWCPrediction Horizon=avg2026.06 | 0.166 | 0.255 | |
| WPMixerPrediction Horizon=962026.06 | 0.166 | 0.26 | |
| TimesNetH=96, Variant=Original2026.02 | 0.168 | 0.272 | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=962026.05 | 0.168 | 0.272 | |
| SEMPOPrediction Length=96, Model Size=6.5M, Pre-training Data Size=83M, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.05 | 0.168 | 0.271 | |
| TimeXerPrediction Length=Avg2025.12 | 0.169 | 0.262 | |
| TimesNetH=336, Variant=+Ours2026.02 | 0.169 | 0.269 | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=3362026.05 | 0.169 | 0.267 | |
| TimeMixerinput time series length=720, horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (averaged)2026.06 | 0.169 | 0.268 | |
| iTransformer + DPADBackbone=iTransformer, DPAD Enhancement=true, Look-back length=96, Prediction length=96, 192, 336, 7202026.01 | 0.17 | 0.261 | |
| TimeXer + DPADBackbone=TimeXer, DPAD Enhancement=true, Look-back length=96, Prediction length=96, 192, 336, 7202026.01 | 0.17 | 0.268 |