Out-of-sample crash prediction on City Crash and Exposure Data Austin (held-out)
-8.16Predictive log-likelihoodIndep RE
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| Indep RERandom-effects prior=independent hierarchical2026.06 | -8.16 | |
| GP HDV-onlyRandom-effects prior=Gaussian Process, Kernel type=log-HDV-frequency similarity2026.06 | -8.39 | |
| GP EuclideanRandom-effects prior=Gaussian Process, Kernel type=Euclidean covariate distance2026.06 | -9.6 | |
| GP learnedRandom-effects prior=Gaussian Process, Kernel type=learned embedding2026.06 | -9.84 | |
| Single poolRandom-effects prior=none2026.06 | -15.87 |