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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Long-term time-series forecasting on Weather (test)

0.143MSEFlowMixer
0.138680.167840.1970.22616May 18, 2022Jan 18, 2023Sep 21, 2023May 24, 2024Jan 24, 2025Sep 27, 2025May 31, 2026
Updated 4mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
FlowMixerh=962025.050.1430.194
FITSHorizon=962023.070.145—
Super-LinearHorizon=962025.090.1460.195
TIME-LLMHorizon=962023.100.1470.201
Time-LLMHorizon=962025.090.1470.201
Time-VLMHorizon=962025.090.1480.2
PatchTSTHorizon=962023.100.1490.198
PatchTSTlook-back=96, prediction length=962024.110.1490.198
FSMLPForecast length=96, History window=962024.120.1490.193
KooPAh=962025.050.1540.205
Peri-midFormerlook-back=96, prediction length=962024.110.1550.2
N-HitsPrediction Length=962022.050.1580.195
MFVI Latent ARpred_len=962026.040.1580.204
N-HITSh=962025.050.1580.195
BEATPrediction length=96, Historical time step=962025.010.160.198
WPMixerPrediction length=96, Historical time step=962025.010.1620.204
GPT4TSHorizon=962023.100.1620.212
LSTNetpred_len=962026.040.165—
TimeCMAHorizon=962025.090.1670.211
iTransformerPrediction length=96, Historical time step=962025.010.1740.214
FreqLiteHorizon (H)=96, Lookback (L)=3362026.050.1740.224
FlowMixerh=1922025.050.1850.235
PatchTSTPrediction length=96, Historical time step=962025.010.1860.227
FITSHorizon=1922023.070.188—
Super-LinearHorizon=1922025.090.1890.237
Time-LLMHorizon=1922025.090.1890.234
DLinearh=962025.050.1930.292
KooPAh=1922025.050.1930.241
Time-VLMHorizon=1922025.090.1930.24
FreqLiteH=96, Lookback (L)=962026.050.1950.234
FiLMPrediction Length=962022.050.1990.262
FiLMHorizon=962023.070.199—
LSTM-ARpred_len=962026.040.2—
TS-Memorybackbone=TimesFM2026.020.2050.23
MFVI Latent ARpred_len=1922026.040.2060.248
BEATPrediction length=192, Historical time step=962025.010.2070.241
N-HitsPrediction Length=1922022.050.2110.247
xPatchhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.120.2110.247
N-HITSh=1922025.050.2110.247
LSTNetpred_len=1922026.040.212—
TimeCMAHorizon=1922025.090.2120.253
TimeAlign2025.090.2140.244
FEDformerPrediction Length=962022.050.2170.296
FEDFormerHorizon=962023.070.217—
FreqLiteHorizon (H)=192, Lookback (L)=3362026.050.2180.26
TimeBase2025.090.2190.263
CARDhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.120.220.248
CMoS2025.090.220.261
TSMixer + xCPDBackbone=TSMixer, Plugin=xCPD, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.030.2210.259
TVNet2025.090.2210.261
Super-LinearHorizon=Avg.2025.090.2210.259
TimeMixerhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.120.2220.262
TimesFMsetting=Origin2026.020.2220.237
ModernTCN2025.090.2240.264
Time-VLMHorizon=Avg.2025.090.2240.263
TIME-LLMForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.100.2250.257
TSMixer + CCMBackbone=TSMixer, Plugin=CCM, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.030.2250.263
Time-LLMHorizon=Avg.2025.090.2250.258
PatchTSThyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.120.2260.264
TimeMixer2025.090.2260.264
Leddam2025.090.2260.264
PatchTST2025.090.2260.264
FiLMPrediction Length=1922022.050.2280.288
FiLMHorizon=1922023.070.228—
Crossformer2025.090.2280.287
DLinearh=1922025.050.2280.296
TSMixer + LIFTBackbone=TSMixer, Plugin=LIFT, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.030.2310.266
iTransformer2025.090.2330.271
TSMixerBackbone=TSMixer, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.030.2340.268
N-HiTSForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.100.2350.286
FlowMixerh=3362025.050.2350.276
FITSHorizon=3362023.070.236—
FSMLPForecast length=Avg, History window=962024.120.2370.264
TS-Memorybackbone=Sundial2026.020.2380.266
FEDformerh=962025.050.2380.314
Super-LinearHorizon=3362025.090.2380.277
TS-Memorybackbone=ChronosBolt2026.020.2390.267
FreqLiteH=192, Lookback (L)=962026.050.240.27
TS-Memorybackbone=Chronos22026.020.2410.26
RLinearhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.120.2420.278
QDFInput length=96, Forecast horizons=T=96, 192, 336, 720, Underlying forecast model=TQNet2025.100.2420.268
DLinear2025.090.2420.293
MICNhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.120.2430.299
Time-VLMHorizon=3362025.090.2430.281
Sundialsetting=Origin2026.020.2440.269
TSMixerPublication Year=20232025.120.2440.304
TimeMixerPublication Year=20242025.120.2450.275
WPMixerInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.050.2450.273
AttraosInput length=96, Prediction horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.2460.271
DLinearhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.120.2460.3
TQNetInput length=96, Forecast horizons=T=96, 192, 336, 7202025.100.2460.27
TimeMixerInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.050.2460.276
KoopaInput length=96, Prediction horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.020.2470.273
SIGMAInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.050.2470.273
DistDFInput length=96, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (Avg)2025.100.2480.275
FreTSInput length=96, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (Avg)2025.100.2490.293
FreTSInput length=96, Forecast horizons=T=96, 192, 336, 7202025.100.2490.293
Autoformerh=962025.050.2490.329
TimeCMAHorizon=Avg.2025.090.250.276
FITSForecast length=Avg, History window=962024.120.2510.276