Long-term time-series forecasting on Weather (test)
0.143MSEFlowMixer
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| FlowMixerh=962025.05 | 0.143 | 0.194 | |
| FITSHorizon=962023.07 | 0.145 | — | |
| Super-LinearHorizon=962025.09 | 0.146 | 0.195 | |
| TIME-LLMHorizon=962023.10 | 0.147 | 0.201 | |
| Time-LLMHorizon=962025.09 | 0.147 | 0.201 | |
| Time-VLMHorizon=962025.09 | 0.148 | 0.2 | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=962023.10 | 0.149 | 0.198 | |
| PatchTSTlook-back=96, prediction length=962024.11 | 0.149 | 0.198 | |
| FSMLPForecast length=96, History window=962024.12 | 0.149 | 0.193 | |
| KooPAh=962025.05 | 0.154 | 0.205 | |
| Peri-midFormerlook-back=96, prediction length=962024.11 | 0.155 | 0.2 | |
| N-HitsPrediction Length=962022.05 | 0.158 | 0.195 | |
| MFVI Latent ARpred_len=962026.04 | 0.158 | 0.204 | |
| N-HITSh=962025.05 | 0.158 | 0.195 | |
| BEATPrediction length=96, Historical time step=962025.01 | 0.16 | 0.198 | |
| WPMixerPrediction length=96, Historical time step=962025.01 | 0.162 | 0.204 | |
| GPT4TSHorizon=962023.10 | 0.162 | 0.212 | |
| LSTNetpred_len=962026.04 | 0.165 | — | |
| TimeCMAHorizon=962025.09 | 0.167 | 0.211 | |
| iTransformerPrediction length=96, Historical time step=962025.01 | 0.174 | 0.214 | |
| FreqLiteHorizon (H)=96, Lookback (L)=3362026.05 | 0.174 | 0.224 | |
| FlowMixerh=1922025.05 | 0.185 | 0.235 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction length=96, Historical time step=962025.01 | 0.186 | 0.227 | |
| FITSHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.188 | — | |
| Super-LinearHorizon=1922025.09 | 0.189 | 0.237 | |
| Time-LLMHorizon=1922025.09 | 0.189 | 0.234 | |
| DLinearh=962025.05 | 0.193 | 0.292 | |
| KooPAh=1922025.05 | 0.193 | 0.241 | |
| Time-VLMHorizon=1922025.09 | 0.193 | 0.24 | |
| FreqLiteH=96, Lookback (L)=962026.05 | 0.195 | 0.234 | |
| FiLMPrediction Length=962022.05 | 0.199 | 0.262 | |
| FiLMHorizon=962023.07 | 0.199 | — | |
| LSTM-ARpred_len=962026.04 | 0.2 | — | |
| TS-Memorybackbone=TimesFM2026.02 | 0.205 | 0.23 | |
| MFVI Latent ARpred_len=1922026.04 | 0.206 | 0.248 | |
| BEATPrediction length=192, Historical time step=962025.01 | 0.207 | 0.241 | |
| N-HitsPrediction Length=1922022.05 | 0.211 | 0.247 | |
| xPatchhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.211 | 0.247 | |
| N-HITSh=1922025.05 | 0.211 | 0.247 | |
| LSTNetpred_len=1922026.04 | 0.212 | — | |
| TimeCMAHorizon=1922025.09 | 0.212 | 0.253 | |
| TimeAlign2025.09 | 0.214 | 0.244 | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=962022.05 | 0.217 | 0.296 | |
| FEDFormerHorizon=962023.07 | 0.217 | — | |
| FreqLiteHorizon (H)=192, Lookback (L)=3362026.05 | 0.218 | 0.26 | |
| TimeBase2025.09 | 0.219 | 0.263 | |
| CARDhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.22 | 0.248 | |
| CMoS2025.09 | 0.22 | 0.261 | |
| TSMixer + xCPDBackbone=TSMixer, Plugin=xCPD, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.03 | 0.221 | 0.259 | |
| TVNet2025.09 | 0.221 | 0.261 | |
| Super-LinearHorizon=Avg.2025.09 | 0.221 | 0.259 | |
| TimeMixerhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.222 | 0.262 | |
| TimesFMsetting=Origin2026.02 | 0.222 | 0.237 | |
| ModernTCN2025.09 | 0.224 | 0.264 | |
| Time-VLMHorizon=Avg.2025.09 | 0.224 | 0.263 | |
| TIME-LLMForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.10 | 0.225 | 0.257 | |
| TSMixer + CCMBackbone=TSMixer, Plugin=CCM, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.03 | 0.225 | 0.263 | |
| Time-LLMHorizon=Avg.2025.09 | 0.225 | 0.258 | |
| PatchTSThyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.226 | 0.264 | |
| TimeMixer2025.09 | 0.226 | 0.264 | |
| Leddam2025.09 | 0.226 | 0.264 | |
| PatchTST2025.09 | 0.226 | 0.264 | |
| FiLMPrediction Length=1922022.05 | 0.228 | 0.288 | |
| FiLMHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.228 | — | |
| Crossformer2025.09 | 0.228 | 0.287 | |
| DLinearh=1922025.05 | 0.228 | 0.296 | |
| TSMixer + LIFTBackbone=TSMixer, Plugin=LIFT, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.03 | 0.231 | 0.266 | |
| iTransformer2025.09 | 0.233 | 0.271 | |
| TSMixerBackbone=TSMixer, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.03 | 0.234 | 0.268 | |
| N-HiTSForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.10 | 0.235 | 0.286 | |
| FlowMixerh=3362025.05 | 0.235 | 0.276 | |
| FITSHorizon=3362023.07 | 0.236 | — | |
| FSMLPForecast length=Avg, History window=962024.12 | 0.237 | 0.264 | |
| TS-Memorybackbone=Sundial2026.02 | 0.238 | 0.266 | |
| FEDformerh=962025.05 | 0.238 | 0.314 | |
| Super-LinearHorizon=3362025.09 | 0.238 | 0.277 | |
| TS-Memorybackbone=ChronosBolt2026.02 | 0.239 | 0.267 | |
| FreqLiteH=192, Lookback (L)=962026.05 | 0.24 | 0.27 | |
| TS-Memorybackbone=Chronos22026.02 | 0.241 | 0.26 | |
| RLinearhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.242 | 0.278 | |
| QDFInput length=96, Forecast horizons=T=96, 192, 336, 720, Underlying forecast model=TQNet2025.10 | 0.242 | 0.268 | |
| DLinear2025.09 | 0.242 | 0.293 | |
| MICNhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.243 | 0.299 | |
| Time-VLMHorizon=3362025.09 | 0.243 | 0.281 | |
| Sundialsetting=Origin2026.02 | 0.244 | 0.269 | |
| TSMixerPublication Year=20232025.12 | 0.244 | 0.304 | |
| TimeMixerPublication Year=20242025.12 | 0.245 | 0.275 | |
| WPMixerInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.05 | 0.245 | 0.273 | |
| AttraosInput length=96, Prediction horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.246 | 0.271 | |
| DLinearhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.246 | 0.3 | |
| TQNetInput length=96, Forecast horizons=T=96, 192, 336, 7202025.10 | 0.246 | 0.27 | |
| TimeMixerInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.05 | 0.246 | 0.276 | |
| KoopaInput length=96, Prediction horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.02 | 0.247 | 0.273 | |
| SIGMAInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.05 | 0.247 | 0.273 | |
| DistDFInput length=96, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (Avg)2025.10 | 0.248 | 0.275 | |
| FreTSInput length=96, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (Avg)2025.10 | 0.249 | 0.293 | |
| FreTSInput length=96, Forecast horizons=T=96, 192, 336, 7202025.10 | 0.249 | 0.293 | |
| Autoformerh=962025.05 | 0.249 | 0.329 | |
| TimeCMAHorizon=Avg.2025.09 | 0.25 | 0.276 | |
| FITSForecast length=Avg, History window=962024.12 | 0.251 | 0.276 |