Long-term time-series forecasting on Traffic (test)
0.367MSETS-Memory
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TS-Memorybackbone=TimesFM2026.02 | 0.367 | 0.241 | — | |
| TimesFMsetting=Origin2026.02 | 0.37 | 0.244 | — | |
| FlowMixerh=962025.05 | 0.377 | 0.264 | — | |
| iTransformerhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.378 | 0.27 | — | |
| TimeAlign2025.09 | 0.378 | 0.24 | — | |
| FSMLPForecast length=96, History window=962024.12 | 0.379 | 0.254 | — | |
| FITSHorizon=962023.07 | 0.381 | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.381 | — | — | |
| CARDhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.381 | 0.251 | — | |
| TIME-LLMForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.10 | 0.388 | 0.264 | — | |
| TimeMixerhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.388 | 0.263 | — | |
| FlowMixerh=1922025.05 | 0.388 | 0.268 | — | |
| TS-Memorybackbone=Chronos22026.02 | 0.389 | 0.235 | — | |
| PatchTSTlook-back=96, prediction length=Avg2024.11 | 0.39 | 0.263 | — | |
| PatchTSThyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.391 | 0.264 | — | |
| xPatchhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.392 | 0.248 | — | |
| Chronos2setting=Origin2026.02 | 0.394 | 0.237 | — | |
| TSMixer + xCPDBackbone=TSMixer, Plugin=xCPD, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.03 | 0.394 | 0.281 | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction length=96, Historical time step=962025.01 | 0.395 | 0.268 | — | |
| TSMixer + CCMBackbone=TSMixer, Plugin=CCM, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.03 | 0.396 | 0.284 | — | |
| CMoS2025.09 | 0.396 | 0.27 | — | |
| TVNet2025.09 | 0.396 | 0.268 | — | |
| ModernTCN2025.09 | 0.396 | 0.27 | — | |
| iTransformer2025.09 | 0.397 | 0.282 | — | |
| PatchTST2025.09 | 0.397 | 0.275 | — | |
| FlowMixerh=3362025.05 | 0.401 | 0.275 | — | |
| KooPAh=962025.05 | 0.401 | 0.275 | — | |
| N-HitsPrediction Length=962022.05 | 0.402 | 0.282 | — | |
| N-HITSh=962025.05 | 0.402 | 0.282 | — | |
| KooPAh=1922025.05 | 0.403 | 0.284 | — | |
| TSMixer + LIFTBackbone=TSMixer, Plugin=LIFT, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.03 | 0.405 | 0.282 | — | |
| FiLMPrediction Length=1922022.05 | 0.408 | 0.288 | — | |
| FiLMHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.408 | — | — | |
| TSMixerBackbone=TSMixer, Look-back horizon=512, Forecasting horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.03 | 0.408 | 0.284 | — | |
| TimeMixer2025.09 | 0.409 | 0.279 | — | |
| FITSHorizon=3362023.07 | 0.41 | — | — | |
| FSMLPForecast length=Avg, History window=962024.12 | 0.415 | 0.272 | — | |
| FiLMPrediction Length=962022.05 | 0.416 | 0.294 | — | |
| FiLMHorizon=962023.07 | 0.416 | — | — | |
| RLinearhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.417 | 0.283 | — | |
| DistDFInput length=96, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (Avg)2025.10 | 0.417 | 0.279 | — | |
| TimeBase2025.09 | 0.417 | 0.278 | — | |
| DLinear2025.09 | 0.418 | 0.287 | — | |
| N-HitsPrediction Length=1922022.05 | 0.42 | 0.297 | — | |
| N-HITSh=1922025.05 | 0.42 | 0.297 | — | |
| FreDFPublication Year=20252025.12 | 0.421 | 0.279 | — | |
| iTransformerPublication Year=20242025.12 | 0.422 | 0.282 | — | |
| FiLMPrediction Length=3362022.05 | 0.425 | 0.298 | — | |
| FiLMHorizon=3362023.07 | 0.425 | — | — | |
| TS-Memorybackbone=ChronosBolt2026.02 | 0.425 | 0.258 | — | |
| TimeBridgeInput length=96, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (Avg)2025.10 | 0.426 | 0.282 | — | |
| iTransformerInput length=96, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (Avg)2025.10 | 0.426 | 0.285 | — | |
| N-HiTSForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.10 | 0.427 | 0.338 | — | |
| iTransformerlook-back=96, prediction length=Avg2024.11 | 0.428 | 0.282 | — | |
| iTransformerForecast length=Avg, History window=962024.12 | 0.428 | 0.282 | — | |
| L_Harm, lpBackbone=iTransformer, Publication Year=20252025.12 | 0.429 | 0.268 | — | |
| DLinearhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.434 | 0.295 | — | |
| FlowMixerh=7202025.05 | 0.434 | 0.291 | — | |
| ChronosBoltsetting=Origin2026.02 | 0.435 | 0.263 | — | |
| TS-Memorybackbone=Sundial2026.02 | 0.436 | 0.278 | — | |
| FITSHorizon=7202023.07 | 0.446 | — | — | |
| N-HitsPrediction Length=3362022.05 | 0.448 | 0.313 | — | |
| N-HITSh=3362025.05 | 0.448 | 0.313 | — | |
| Leddam2025.09 | 0.452 | 0.283 | — | |
| SIGMAInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.05 | 0.458 | 0.302 | — | |
| BEATPrediction length=96, Historical time step=962025.01 | 0.459 | 0.278 | — | |
| Sundialsetting=Origin2026.02 | 0.461 | 0.286 | — | |
| PatchTSTInput length=96, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (Avg)2025.10 | 0.468 | 0.298 | — | |
| Peri-midFormerlook-back=96, prediction length=Avg2024.11 | 0.475 | 0.31 | — | |
| FredformerInput length=96, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (Avg)2025.10 | 0.486 | 0.336 | — | |
| PatchTSTPublication Year=20232025.12 | 0.491 | 0.316 | — | |
| MultiPatchFormerInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.05 | 0.497 | 0.329 | — | |
| TimeMixerInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.05 | 0.501 | 0.318 | — | |
| TimeMixerPublication Year=20242025.12 | 0.503 | 0.31 | — | |
| FiLMPrediction Length=7202022.05 | 0.52 | 0.353 | — | |
| FiLMHorizon=7202023.07 | 0.52 | — | — | |
| Crossformer2025.09 | 0.523 | 0.284 | — | |
| WPMixerInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.05 | 0.527 | 0.343 | — | |
| MICNInput length=96, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (Avg)2025.10 | 0.529 | 0.312 | — | |
| SCINetHorizon=1922021.06 | 0.535 | 0.355 | 13.15 | |
| FreTSInput length=96, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 (Avg)2025.10 | 0.538 | 0.33 | — | |
| N-HitsPrediction Length=7202022.05 | 0.539 | 0.353 | — | |
| N-HITSh=7202025.05 | 0.539 | 0.353 | — | |
| SCINetHorizon=3362021.06 | 0.54 | 0.359 | 13.18 | |
| MICNhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.542 | 0.316 | — | |
| MICNPublication Year=20232025.12 | 0.543 | 0.32 | — | |
| MICNInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.05 | 0.543 | 0.32 | — | |
| AMDInput length (L)=96, Prediction horizons (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}, Result aggregation=Averaged across horizons2026.05 | 0.546 | 0.344 | — | |
| FreTSPublication Year=20232025.12 | 0.554 | 0.348 | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=962022.05 | 0.562 | 0.349 | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=1922022.05 | 0.562 | 0.346 | — | |
| TSMixerPublication Year=20232025.12 | 0.566 | 0.385 | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=3362022.05 | 0.57 | 0.323 | — | |
| FEDformerh=962025.05 | 0.576 | 0.359 | — | |
| FEDFormerHorizon=962023.07 | 0.587 | — | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=7202022.05 | 0.596 | 0.368 | — | |
| Autoformerh=962025.05 | 0.597 | 0.371 | — | |
| DLinearh=1922025.05 | 0.598 | 0.37 | — | |
| FEDFormerHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.604 | — | — | |
| DLinearh=3362025.05 | 0.605 | 0.373 | — |