Long-term Time Series Forecasting on Electricity
0.133MSESEED
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEEDPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.133 | 0.23 | — | |
| TQNetPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.134 | 0.229 | — | |
| SOFTSPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.143 | 0.233 | — | |
| DUETPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.145 | 0.233 | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.148 | 0.24 | — | |
| iTransformerLook-back window (L)=96, Prediction length (P)=96, Model Year=20242025.08 | 0.148 | 0.24 | — | |
| SEEDPrediction Length (T)=1922025.12 | 0.151 | 0.245 | — | |
| Peri-midFormerForecast lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}, Look-back window=5122024.11 | 0.152 | 0.249 | — | |
| TQNetPrediction Length (T)=1922025.12 | 0.154 | 0.247 | — | |
| SEEDPrediction Length (T)=Avg.2025.12 | 0.156 | 0.253 | — | |
| CycleNet/MLPLookback length=336, Prediction horizon=Average2024.09 | 0.157 | 0.251 | — | |
| CycleNet/LinearLookback length=720, Prediction horizon=Average2024.09 | 0.157 | 0.25 | — | |
| CycleNet/MLPLookback length=720, Prediction horizon=Average2024.09 | 0.157 | 0.252 | — | |
| CycleNet/LinearLookback length=336, Prediction horizon=Average2024.09 | 0.158 | 0.25 | — | |
| Time-LLMForecast lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}, Look-back window=5122024.11 | 0.158 | 0.252 | — | |
| SOFTSPrediction Length (T)=1922025.12 | 0.158 | 0.248 | — | |
| TSLANetForecast lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}, Look-back window=5122024.11 | 0.159 | 0.224 | — | |
| SEEDPrediction Length (T)=3362025.12 | 0.16 | 0.257 | — | |
| FiCoTSMethod category=LLM-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.161 | 0.254 | — | |
| PatchTSTMethod category=Transformer-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.161 | 0.252 | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.161 | 0.252 | — | |
| PatchTSTLookback length=336, Prediction horizon=Average2024.09 | 0.162 | 0.254 | — | |
| PatchTSTForecast lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}, Look-back window=5122024.11 | 0.162 | 0.257 | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length (T)=1922025.12 | 0.162 | 0.253 | — | |
| KANMixerLook-back window (L)=96, Prediction length (P)=96, Model Year=Ours2025.08 | 0.162 | 0.26 | — | |
| DUETPrediction Length (T)=1922025.12 | 0.163 | 0.248 | — | |
| SegRNNLookback length=720, Prediction horizon=Average2024.09 | 0.164 | 0.264 | — | |
| TQNetLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.164 | 0.259 | — | |
| TQNetPrediction Length (T)=Avg.2025.12 | 0.164 | 0.259 | — | |
| SparseTSFLookback length=720, Prediction horizon=Average2024.09 | 0.165 | 0.258 | — | |
| MSGNetPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.165 | 0.274 | — | |
| DLinearLookback length=336, Prediction horizon=Average2024.09 | 0.166 | 0.263 | — | |
| GTRLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.166 | 0.26 | — | |
| S^2IP-LLMMethod category=LLM-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.166 | 0.262 | — | |
| DLinearMethod category=Non-Transformer-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.166 | 0.263 | — | |
| TPCHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.166 | 0.258 | — | |
| DLinearHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.166 | 0.263 | — | |
| GPT4TSForecast lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}, Look-back window=5122024.11 | 0.167 | 0.263 | — | |
| DLinearForecast lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}, Look-back window=5122024.11 | 0.167 | 0.268 | — | |
| TimeLLMMethod category=LLM-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.167 | 0.264 | — | |
| GPT4TSMethod category=LLM-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.167 | 0.263 | — | |
| OFAHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.167 | 0.263 | — | |
| TimeLLMHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.167 | 0.261 | — | |
| S2IP-LLMHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.167 | 0.263 | — | |
| FITSForecast lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}, Look-back window=5122024.11 | 0.168 | 0.263 | — | |
| CARDLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.168 | 0.258 | — | |
| CycleNetLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.168 | 0.259 | — | |
| TQNetPrediction Length (T)=3362025.12 | 0.169 | 0.264 | — | |
| S-MambaLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.17 | 0.265 | — | |
| TimeXerLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.171 | 0.27 | — | |
| DUETPrediction Length (T)=Avg.2025.12 | 0.172 | 0.258 | — | |
| TimeVLMMethod category=LLM-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.172 | 0.273 | — | |
| AutoTimesHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.173 | 0.266 | — | |
| SOFTSLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.174 | 0.264 | — | |
| SOFTSPrediction Length (T)=Avg.2025.12 | 0.174 | 0.264 | — | |
| STAIRInput length=96, Prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.05 | 0.174 | 0.272 | — | |
| RAFTLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.175 | 0.272 | — | |
| DUETPrediction Length (T)=3362025.12 | 0.175 | 0.262 | — | |
| iTransformerLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.178 | 0.27 | — | |
| iTransformerLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.178 | 0.27 | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length (T)=3362025.12 | 0.178 | 0.269 | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length (T)=Avg.2025.12 | 0.178 | 0.27 | — | |
| SOFTSPrediction Length (T)=3362025.12 | 0.178 | 0.269 | — | |
| iTransformerInput length=96, Prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.05 | 0.178 | 0.27 | — | |
| xPatchLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.179 | 0.264 | — | |
| SEEDPrediction Length (T)=7202025.12 | 0.179 | 0.279 | — | |
| TimeMixerLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.182 | 0.273 | — | |
| TimeMixerLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.182 | 0.273 | — | |
| TimeMixerInput length=96, Prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.05 | 0.182 | 0.273 | — | |
| MSGNetPrediction Length (T)=1922025.12 | 0.184 | 0.292 | — | |
| MICNLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.187 | 0.295 | — | |
| PatchTSTLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.19 | 0.275 | — | |
| TimesNetMethod category=Non-Transformer-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.192 | 0.295 | — | |
| TimesNetLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.193 | 0.295 | — | |
| TimesNetInput length=96, Prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.05 | 0.193 | 0.295 | — | |
| MSGNetPrediction Length (T)=Avg.2025.12 | 0.194 | 0.3 | — | |
| MSGNetPrediction Length (T)=3362025.12 | 0.195 | 0.302 | — | |
| TQNetPrediction Length (T)=7202025.12 | 0.201 | 0.294 | — | |
| iTransformerMethod category=Transformer-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.203 | 0.298 | — | |
| DUETPrediction Length (T)=7202025.12 | 0.204 | 0.291 | — | |
| PatchTSTLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.205 | 0.29 | — | |
| PatchTSTInput length=96, Prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.05 | 0.205 | 0.29 | — | |
| ETSformerLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.208 | 0.323 | — | |
| ETSformerMethod category=Transformer-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.208 | 0.323 | — | |
| DLinearLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.212 | 0.3 | — | |
| DLinearLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.212 | 0.3 | — | |
| DLinearInput length=96, Prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.05 | 0.212 | 0.3 | — | |
| RLinearLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.214 | 0.291 | — | |
| FEDformerMethod category=Transformer-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.214 | 0.327 | — | |
| TimesNetForecast lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}, Look-back window=5122024.11 | 0.217 | 0.314 | — | |
| SOFTSPrediction Length (T)=7202025.12 | 0.218 | 0.305 | — | |
| TimesNetLook-back window (L)=96, Prediction length (P)=720, Model Year=20232025.08 | 0.22 | 0.32 | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length (T)=7202025.12 | 0.225 | 0.317 | — | |
| AutoformerMethod category=Transformer-based, Input sequence length=512, Predictive lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.11 | 0.227 | 0.338 | — | |
| MSGNetPrediction Length (T)=7202025.12 | 0.231 | 0.332 | — | |
| CrossformerInput length=96, Prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.05 | 0.244 | 0.334 | — | |
| PatchTSTFramework=+APTF, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.02 | 0.25 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTFramework=Original, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.02 | 0.252 | — | — | |
| TiDEInput length=96, Prediction lengths={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.05 | 0.252 | 0.344 | — | |
| N-HiTSFramework=+APTF, Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.02 | 0.255 | — | — |