ResearchBenchmarksLong-horizon prediction on RETWEETFollow15.56OTDEVIL15.54815.62915.7115.791Apr 17, 2026Evaluation ResultsMethodMethodLinksOTDsMAPEEVIL2026.0415.5682.5EVILSynthetic prior=trueSynthetic prior=true2026.0415.5892.3FIM-PPFinetuning=trueFinetuning=true2026.0415.6583HawkesEM2026.0415.6980.5FIM-PPZero-shot mode=trueZero-shot mode=true2026.0415.7598.7CDiff2026.0415.86106.6