Equilibrium State Estimation on COVID-19 (test)
16.41RMSE (20 regions)LSTM
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSTMInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 16.41 | 46.6 | 4.51 | 15.01 | 40.02 | 3.52 | |
| FiLMInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 16.54 | 52.9 | 4.53 | 13.85 | 43.21 | 3.34 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 18.49 | 57.69 | 5.44 | 17.47 | 49.22 | 5.02 | |
| KVAEInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=No, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 35.14 | 48.14 | 4.79 | 31.47 | 47.23 | 4.53 | |
| KVAEInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 44.94 | 51.39 | 4.24 | 40.46 | 48.94 | 4.07 | |
| VARInput Length=10, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 45.29 | 63.94 | 6.76 | 38.48 | 56.16 | 5.96 | |
| LSTMInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 48.01 | 56.62 | 4.3 | 44.15 | 51.12 | 3.34 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 49.34 | 56.32 | 4.38 | 48.41 | 51.21 | 3.46 | |
| ESEInput Length=20, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 52.47 | 54.99 | 4.76 | 51.6 | 49.86 | 4.43 | |
| ESEInput Length=10, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 53.69 | 57.99 | 4.34 | 51.64 | 52.27 | 3.54 | |
| VARInput Length=20, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 54.61 | 78.92 | 8.49 | 53.38 | 70.9 | 8.17 | |
| DlinearInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=No, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 57.32 | 55.15 | 5.13 | 49.63 | 52.95 | 4.83 | |
| DlinearInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 58.13 | 53.44 | 4.7 | 46.82 | 50.42 | 4.36 | |
| ESEInput Length=50, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 62.16 | 54.52 | 4.73 | 51.34 | 49.94 | 4.56 | |
| PatchTSTInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=No, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 70.01 | 56.44 | 5.11 | 63.52 | 52.41 | 4.43 | |
| PatchTSTInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 70.74 | 53.71 | 4.51 | 65.97 | 47.25 | 4.36 | |
| TimeLLMInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 71.11 | 51.66 | 4.62 | 67.01 | 47.84 | 4.31 | |
| NlinearInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 71.64 | 55.14 | 4.47 | 69.98 | 51.33 | 4.18 | |
| FiLMInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 71.68 | 54.96 | 4.36 | 69.15 | 49.01 | 3.96 | |
| TimeLLMInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=No, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 73.47 | 59.48 | 5.12 | 70.02 | 52.64 | 4.82 | |
| NlinearInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=No, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 74.96 | 55.62 | 5.47 | 70.77 | 52.23 | 4.99 | |
| VARInput Length=50, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 77.19 | 84.94 | 8.9 | 73.55 | 82.26 | 8.38 | |
| ESEInput Length=100, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 84.54 | 55.54 | 4.83 | 83.91 | 50.85 | 4.58 | |
| VARInput Length=100, Prediction Horizon=12026.06 | 95.79 | 90.85 | 8.07 | 90.86 | 81.74 | 7.68 |