Equilibrium State Estimation on COVID-19
0.18Computational Cost (20 Regions)ARIMA
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMAInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=No ESE2026.06 | 0.18 | 0.7 | 2.71 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 0.18 | 0.7 | 2.81 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=20, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=No ESE2026.06 | 0.21 | 0.94 | 3.78 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 0.22 | 0.89 | 3.59 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 0.27 | 1.09 | 4.11 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 0.33 | 1.31 | 5.07 | |
| ESEInput Length=10, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.19 | 1.49 | 1.71 | |
| ESEInput Length=10, Horizon=22026.06 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.72 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.72 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.21 | 1.51 | 1.73 | |
| ESEInput Length=50, Horizon=22026.06 | 1.22 | 1.46 | 1.99 | |
| ESEInput Length=50, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.22 | 1.45 | 1.97 | |
| ESEInput Length=20, Horizon=22026.06 | 1.23 | 1.44 | 1.81 | |
| ESEInput Length=20, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.23 | 1.43 | 1.82 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.23 | 1.46 | 1.99 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=20, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.24 | 1.45 | 1.84 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.24 | 1.44 | 1.83 | |
| ESEInput Length=100, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.31 | 2.1 | 2.28 | |
| ESEInput Length=100, Horizon=22026.06 | 1.32 | 2.11 | 2.3 | |
| ARIMAInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.33 | 2.12 | 2.3 | |
| TimeLLMInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.35 | 1.47 | 1.92 | |
| InformerInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.36 | 1.68 | 1.89 | |
| InformerInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.36 | 1.67 | 1.88 | |
| PatchTSTInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.38 | 1.69 | 1.91 | |
| PatchTSTInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.38 | 1.69 | 1.9 | |
| TimeLLMInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.39 | 2.5 | 2.83 | |
| KVAEInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.4 | 1.72 | 1.92 | |
| TimeLLMInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.41 | 1.54 | 1.84 | |
| KVAEInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.41 | 1.71 | 1.92 | |
| InformerInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.43 | 1.67 | 2.03 | |
| DeepARInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.43 | 1.74 | 1.95 | |
| DeepARInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.45 | 1.73 | 1.96 | |
| LSTMInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.46 | 1.77 | 1.98 | |
| LSTMInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.47 | 1.76 | 1.96 | |
| NlinearInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.48 | 1.8 | 2.03 | |
| TPGNNInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.48 | 1.8 | 2.02 | |
| DlinearInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.48 | 1.79 | 2.03 | |
| InformerInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.48 | 1.73 | 2.25 | |
| PatchTSTInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.48 | 1.69 | 2.08 | |
| DlinearInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.49 | 1.8 | 2.02 | |
| KVAEInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.49 | 1.69 | 2.07 | |
| TPGNNInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.49 | 1.8 | 2 | |
| NlinearInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.5 | 1.81 | 2.01 | |
| FiLMInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.5 | 1.82 | 2.02 | |
| FiLMInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.52 | 1.81 | 2.06 | |
| DeepARInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.52 | 1.72 | 2.15 | |
| KVAEInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.53 | 1.78 | 2.3 | |
| PatchTSTInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.53 | 1.78 | 2.29 | |
| TimeLLMInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.53 | 2.07 | 2.43 | |
| TimeLLMInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.54 | 1.64 | 1.83 | |
| LSTMInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.57 | 1.74 | 2.13 | |
| SCINetInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.57 | 1.88 | 2.12 | |
| SCINetInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 1.59 | 1.91 | 2.1 | |
| NlinearInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.23 | |
| LSTMInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.61 | 1.84 | 2.41 | |
| DlinearInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.62 | 1.81 | 2.18 | |
| TPGNNInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.62 | 1.82 | 2.19 | |
| DeepARInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.63 | 1.87 | 2.39 | |
| FiLMInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.65 | 1.87 | 2.24 | |
| InformerInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.66 | 2.4 | 2.62 | |
| KVAEInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.67 | 2.5 | 2.63 | |
| DlinearInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.69 | 1.9 | 2.49 | |
| SCINetInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.7 | 1.92 | 2.31 | |
| NlinearInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.72 | 1.93 | 2.41 | |
| TPGNNInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.72 | 1.91 | 2.48 | |
| FiLMInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.73 | 1.96 | 2.44 | |
| DeepARInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.77 | 2.52 | 2.73 | |
| SCINetInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.78 | 2.11 | 2.6 | |
| PatchTSTInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.79 | 2.46 | 2.66 | |
| LSTMInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.8 | 2.59 | 2.72 | |
| TPGNNInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.81 | 2.65 | 2.86 | |
| DlinearInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.86 | 2.68 | 2.87 | |
| FiLMInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.86 | 2.74 | 2.84 | |
| NlinearInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 1.87 | 2.7 | 2.86 | |
| SCINetInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=With ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 2.04 | 2.82 | 2.94 | |
| SCINetInput Length=100, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=With ESE2026.06 | 2.09 | 2.89 | 3.05 | |
| InformerInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 3.52 | 13.24 | 57.48 | |
| InformerInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=No ESE2026.06 | 3.53 | 14.52 | 58.83 | |
| PatchTSTInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 3.71 | 15.55 | 61.08 | |
| PatchTSTInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=No ESE2026.06 | 3.77 | 14.77 | 60.33 | |
| KVAEInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=No ESE2026.06 | 4.02 | 16.9 | 65.41 | |
| KVAEInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 4.37 | 17.03 | 67.34 | |
| TimeLLMInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 4.45 | 23.11 | 85.14 | |
| InformerInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 4.56 | 17.16 | 74 | |
| PatchTSTInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 4.6 | 18.68 | 82.9 | |
| TimeLLMInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 4.65 | 21.77 | 82.3 | |
| DeepARInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=No ESE2026.06 | 4.75 | 19.2 | 79.48 | |
| TimeLLMInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=No ESE2026.06 | 4.94 | 22.41 | 86.44 | |
| LSTMInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=No ESE2026.06 | 5.06 | 20.24 | 88.66 | |
| LSTMInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 5.06 | 20.68 | 86.88 | |
| DeepARInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 5.11 | 19.57 | 76.72 | |
| KVAEInput Length=20, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 5.21 | 22.17 | 90.23 | |
| InformerInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 5.38 | 20.58 | 93.92 | |
| PatchTSTInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 5.85 | 23.96 | 94.47 | |
| TPGNNInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 5.87 | 23.56 | 97.4 | |
| InformerInput Length=100, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 5.95 | 26.97 | 100.08 | |
| TimeLLMInput Length=50, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 6.01 | 23.41 | 104.32 | |
| DlinearInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=No ESE2026.06 | 6.02 | 24.55 | 95.88 | |
| NlinearInput Length=10, ESE Augmentation=No ESE, Horizon=12026.06 | 6.04 | 24.91 | 99.01 | |
| TPGNNInput Length=10, Horizon=2, ESE Augmentation=No ESE2026.06 | 6.09 | 22.68 | 99.67 |