Equilibrium State Estimation on COVID-19 (79 regions)
50.99RMSEDeepAR
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeepARESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 50.99 | 50.96 | 2.52 | |
| TimeLLMESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 51.66 | 47.84 | 2.5 | |
| KVAEESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 52.13 | 51.24 | 2.5 | |
| KVAEESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 53.12 | 52.71 | 32.41 | |
| PatchTSTESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 53.71 | 47.25 | 2.46 | |
| SCINetInput Length=50, ESE integration=With ESE, Prediction Horizon=52026.06 | 54.01 | 49.91 | — | |
| SCINetESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 54.04 | 50.34 | 2.82 | |
| ARIMAESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 54.15 | 50.65 | 2.12 | |
| FiLMESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 54.96 | 49.01 | 2.74 | |
| NlinearESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 55.14 | 51.33 | 2.7 | |
| LSTMESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 55.42 | 49.93 | 2.59 | |
| InformerESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 55.48 | 49.23 | 2.4 | |
| ESEInput steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 55.54 | 50.85 | 2.1 | |
| NlinearESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 55.62 | 52.23 | 45.67 | |
| SCINetESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 55.86 | 53.56 | 62.27 | |
| DlinearESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 56.14 | 50.12 | 2.68 | |
| DlinearESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 56.16 | 53.95 | 40.98 | |
| FiLMESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 56.21 | 51.34 | 48.55 | |
| DeepARESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 56.34 | 54.32 | 37.25 | |
| PatchTSTESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 56.44 | 52.41 | 27.7 | |
| TPGNNESE integration status=With ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 56.95 | 54.99 | 2.65 | |
| TPGNNESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 59.22 | 58.13 | 42.92 | |
| TimeLLMESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 59.48 | 52.64 | 24.15 | |
| FiLMInput Length=50, ESE integration=With ESE, Prediction Horizon=52026.06 | 60.65 | 49.18 | — | |
| LSTMESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 61.42 | 57.26 | 39.96 | |
| InformerESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 62.01 | 60.57 | 26.97 | |
| ESEInput Length=10, Prediction Horizon=52026.06 | 64.95 | 57.7 | — | |
| ARIMAESE integration status=No ESE, Input steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 77.72 | 67.41 | 1.31 | |
| VARInput steps=100, Prediction horizon=1-step2026.06 | 90.85 | 81.74 | — |