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Outcome Prediction research benchmarks · SOTA2 Research

Outcome Prediction

Benchmarks

Dataset NameSOTA MethodSort

Dataset NameSOTA methodMetricTrendResultsLast Updated

B2 (LoRA enc. + head)

65.21Macro-F1

10

Jun 26, 2026

Law School Admissions Observational (test)

0.87MSE

7

Jun 26, 2026

Amazon Sales Interventional (test)

0.455MSE

7

Jun 26, 2026

Amazon Sales Observational (test)

0.001MSE

7

Jun 26, 2026

Lichess April 2026 (held-out slice)

ChessMimic winner

0.184Brier Score

7

Jun 4, 2026

Amazon Sales Counterfactual (test)

0.502MSE

2

Jun 26, 2026

PANSS-FSPS Active taVNS group (val)

five-fold nested cross-validation SVR model

0.39RMSE

1

Mar 17, 2026

PANSS-FSNS Sham taVNS group (five-fold nested cross-validation)

five-fold nested cross-validation SVR model

0.11RMSE

1

Mar 17, 2026

PANSS-FSNS Active taVNS group (five-fold nested cross-validation)

five-fold nested cross-validation SVR model

0.06RMSE

1

Mar 17, 2026

Stroke Outcome Data

—

—Primary metric

0

Feb 26, 2026

Popular datasets

Amazon Sales PANSS-FSNS Lichess Stroke Outcome Data PANSS-FSPS

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