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Long-term forecasting research benchmarks – Page 3 · SOTA2 Research

Long-term forecasting

Benchmarks

Dataset NameSOTA MethodSort

Dataset NameSOTA methodMetricTrendResultsLast Updated

Systems long-term trajectories of length 4096 (test)

0.25Avg Spectral Hellinger Distance (H^2)

25

Mar 12, 2026

Exchange 10% few-shot

0.084MSE

24

Apr 7, 2026

Hungary Chickenpox (test)

98Empirical Coverage

24

Mar 10, 2026

Colombia Dengue (test)

Prob-iTransformer

97Empirical Coverage

24

Mar 10, 2026

Belgium COVID-19 (test)

100Empirical Coverage

24

Mar 10, 2026

Japan TB (test)

100Empirical Coverage

24

Mar 10, 2026

Transformer + TDA

0.119MSE

24

May 15, 2026

0.92Empirical Coverage

24

Mar 10, 2026

0.157MSE

22

May 15, 2026

0.27MSE

22

May 15, 2026

0.192MSE

22

Mar 26, 2026

Weather Horizon 96

0.11MSE

21

May 15, 2026

0.361MSE

21

Jun 1, 2026

ETTm1 v1 (test)

0.356MSE

21

Feb 26, 2026

0.268MSE

20

May 12, 2026

0.358MSE

20

May 12, 2026

0.322MSE

20

May 12, 2026

0.309MSE

20

May 12, 2026

0.129MSE

20

Feb 26, 2026

0.429MSE

19

Jun 1, 2026

0.188MSE

19

Apr 21, 2026

0.439MSE

19

Apr 21, 2026

0.145MSE

19

Jun 1, 2026

ETTh1 standard (test)

0.349MSE

18

Jun 11, 2026

Electricity (Elec.)

0.396RMSE

18

Mar 11, 2026

Page 3 of 7

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Weather Electricity Traffic ETTm1 Exchange

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