Long-term Forecasting on ILI (test)
0.92Empirical CoverageGpGp
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GpGpHorizon=13-week2026.03 | 0.92 | — | — | |
| DiffSTGHorizon=9-week2026.03 | 0.92 | — | — | |
| DiffSTGHorizon=13-week2026.03 | 0.92 | — | — | |
| GpGpHorizon=9-week2026.03 | 0.88 | — | — | |
| Prob-iTransformerHorizon=9-week2026.03 | 0.86 | — | — | |
| DeepARHorizon=4-week2026.03 | 0.85 | — | — | |
| Prob-iTransformerHorizon=13-week2026.03 | 0.85 | — | — | |
| MVENHorizon=4-week2026.03 | 0.84 | — | — | |
| MVENHorizon=9-week2026.03 | 0.82 | — | — | |
| DiffSTGHorizon=4-week2026.03 | 0.81 | — | — | |
| MVENHorizon=13-week2026.03 | 0.8 | — | — | |
| GpGpHorizon=4-week2026.03 | 0.78 | — | — | |
| STENHorizon=4-week2026.03 | 0.77 | — | — | |
| GCENHorizon=9-week2026.03 | 0.75 | — | — | |
| Prob-iTransformerHorizon=4-week2026.03 | 0.74 | — | — | |
| GCENHorizon=4-week2026.03 | 0.69 | — | — | |
| DeepARHorizon=9-week2026.03 | 0.67 | — | — | |
| STENHorizon=9-week2026.03 | 0.66 | — | — | |
| GCENHorizon=13-week2026.03 | 0.65 | — | — | |
| STENHorizon=13-week2026.03 | 0.61 | — | — | |
| DeepARHorizon=13-week2026.03 | 0.48 | — | — | |
| STESNHorizon=9-week2026.03 | 0.24 | — | — | |
| STESNHorizon=13-week2026.03 | 0.24 | — | — | |
| STESNHorizon=4-week2026.03 | 0.23 | — | — | |
| AutoARIMAForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.10 | — | 4.53 | 1.346 | |
| AutoETSForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.10 | — | 4.323 | 1.317 | |
| AutoThetaForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.10 | — | 5.232 | 1.431 | |
| CARDhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={24, 36, 48, 60}2024.12 | — | 1.916 | 0.842 | |
| DLinearhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={24, 36, 48, 60}2024.12 | — | 2.169 | 1.041 | |
| ETSformerhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={24, 36, 48, 60}2024.12 | — | 2.497 | 1.004 | |
| GPT4TSHorizon=242023.10 | — | 2.063 | 0.881 | |
| iTransformerhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={24, 36, 48, 60}2024.12 | — | 2.947 | 1.193 | |
| MICNhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={24, 36, 48, 60}2024.12 | — | 2.567 | 1.056 | |
| N-BEATSForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.10 | — | 6.839 | 1.882 | |
| N-HiTSForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.10 | — | 2.997 | 1.171 | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=242023.10 | — | 1.319 | 0.754 | |
| PatchTSThyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={24, 36, 48, 60}2024.12 | — | 1.48 | 0.807 | |
| RLinearhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={24, 36, 48, 60}2024.12 | — | 1.803 | 0.874 | |
| TIME-LLMForecasting Horizon (H)=Avg2023.10 | — | 1.435 | 0.801 | |
| TIME-LLMHorizon=242023.10 | — | 1.285 | 0.727 | |
| TIME-LLMHorizon=602023.10 | — | 1.531 | 0.854 | |
| TimeMixerhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={24, 36, 48, 60}2024.12 | — | 1.971 | 0.924 | |
| TimesNethyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={24, 36, 48, 60}2024.12 | — | 2.139 | 0.931 | |
| xPatchhyperparameter searching=true, prediction lengths={24, 36, 48, 60}2024.12 | — | 1.281 | 0.688 |