Wildfire risk prediction on Wildfire Events OOD
0.191Brier ScoreU-Net
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U-NetConditioning=+ CoT, Encoder=U-Net2025.11 | 0.191 | 0.75 | 0.068 | |
| CoT QwenReasoning=Chain-of-Thought2025.11 | 0.196 | 0.748 | 0.077 | |
| SegFormerConditioning=+ CoT, Encoder=SegFormer2025.11 | 0.205 | 0.727 | 0.078 | |
| SegFormerConditioning=+ Oracle, Encoder=SegFormer2025.11 | 0.213 | 0.713 | 0.074 | |
| U-NetConditioning=+ Oracle, Encoder=U-Net2025.11 | 0.213 | 0.698 | 0.087 | |
| U-NetConditioning=Image only, Encoder=U-Net2025.11 | 0.217 | 0.679 | 0.05 | |
| AlphaEarthConditioning=+ CoT, Encoder=AlphaEarth2025.11 | 0.218 | 0.717 | 0.124 | |
| SegFormerConditioning=Image only, Encoder=SegFormer2025.11 | 0.222 | 0.705 | 0.106 | |
| Qwen2025.11 | 0.225 | 0.701 | 0.134 | |
| AlphaEarthConditioning=+ Oracle, Encoder=AlphaEarth2025.11 | 0.228 | 0.696 | 0.141 | |
| AlphaEarthConditioning=+ Climate Data, Encoder=AlphaEarth2025.11 | 0.237 | 0.689 | 0.162 | |
| AlphaEarthConditioning=Image only, Encoder=AlphaEarth2025.11 | 0.252 | 0.692 | 0.19 | |
| U-NetConditioning=+ Climate Data, Encoder=U-Net2025.11 | 0.274 | 0.591 | 0.167 | |
| Climate MLP2025.11 | 0.276 | 0.524 | 0.15 | |
| GPT2025.11 | 0.281 | 0.636 | 0.229 | |
| SegFormerConditioning=+ Climate Data, Encoder=SegFormer2025.11 | 0.306 | 0.557 | 0.224 | |
| FWI2025.11 | 0.321 | 0.551 | 0.255 |