# Wildfire risk prediction on Wildfire Events OOD Source: [Wildfire risk prediction on Wildfire Events OOD]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-03-09T06:59:19.708Z Evaluation of model performance for Wildfire risk prediction using the Wildfire Events OOD dataset. Key metrics include Brier Score, ROC AUC, and Expected Calibration Error (ECE). A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Wildfire risk prediction | | Dataset (including any stated split) | Wildfire Events OOD | | Metric | Brier Score | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 17 of 17 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [Brier Score](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [ROC AUC](): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR. - [Expected Calibration Error](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. ## Recorded results | Method | Brier Score | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | U-Net | 0.191 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | CoT Qwen | 0.196 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | SegFormer | 0.205 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | SegFormer | 0.213 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | U-Net | 0.213 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | U-Net | 0.217 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | AlphaEarth | 0.218 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | SegFormer | 0.222 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | Qwen | 0.225 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | AlphaEarth | 0.228 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | AlphaEarth | 0.237 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | AlphaEarth | 0.252 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | U-Net | 0.274 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | Climate MLP | 0.276 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | GPT | 0.281 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | SegFormer | 0.306 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | | FWI | 0.321 | Not recorded | 6923e665d6b0dd334292edda | ### U-Net Brier Score: 0.191. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955fafc. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"+ CoT","Encoder":"U-Net"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### CoT Qwen Brier Score: 0.196. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faec. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Reasoning":"Chain-of-Thought"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### SegFormer Brier Score: 0.205. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955fafb. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"+ CoT","Encoder":"SegFormer"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### SegFormer Brier Score: 0.213. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faf8. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"+ Oracle","Encoder":"SegFormer"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### U-Net Brier Score: 0.213. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faf9. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"+ Oracle","Encoder":"U-Net"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### U-Net Brier Score: 0.217. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faf3. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"Image only","Encoder":"U-Net"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### AlphaEarth Brier Score: 0.218. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955fafa. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"+ CoT","Encoder":"AlphaEarth"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### SegFormer Brier Score: 0.222. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faf2. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"Image only","Encoder":"SegFormer"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Qwen Brier Score: 0.225. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faeb. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### AlphaEarth Brier Score: 0.228. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faf7. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"+ Oracle","Encoder":"AlphaEarth"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### AlphaEarth Brier Score: 0.237. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faf4. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"+ Climate Data","Encoder":"AlphaEarth"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### AlphaEarth Brier Score: 0.252. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faf1. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"Image only","Encoder":"AlphaEarth"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### U-Net Brier Score: 0.274. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faf6. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"+ Climate Data","Encoder":"U-Net"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Climate MLP Brier Score: 0.276. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955fae8. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### GPT Brier Score: 0.281. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faea. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### SegFormer Brier Score: 0.306. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955faf5. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Conditioning":"+ Climate Data","Encoder":"SegFormer"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FWI Brier Score: 0.321. Result ID: 69ae6f096dbb7075b955fae9. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.