Whole Trajectory forecasting on Transient ISSM ice-sheet simulation steps 61-240 (full rollout)
28.12RMSE (Vx)COGENT
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COGENTKstore=1202026.06 | 28.12 | 52.62 | 12.75 | 35.22 | |
| COGENTKstore=1502026.06 | 29.21 | 50.43 | 11.64 | 34.31 | |
| Initial-state-conditioned baseline2026.06 | 36.45 | 100.79 | 13.81 | 62.39 | |
| Multi-Horizon EmulatorPrediction Horizon Configuration=t → t + 1, t + 62026.06 | 46.19 | 74.09 | 13.98 | 51.05 | |
| Multi-Horizon EmulatorPrediction Horizon Configuration=t → t + 1, t + 6, t + 152026.06 | 50.44 | 61.96 | 11.03 | 46.56 | |
| Single Step Autoregressive ModelPrediction Horizon Configuration=t → t + 12026.06 | 70.8 | 146.24 | 21.39 | 94.62 |