Final Step forecasting on Transient ISSM ice-sheet simulation steps 61-240 (full rollout)
46.77Vx RMSEInitial-state-conditioned baseline
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initial-state-conditioned baseline2026.06 | 46.77 | 137.72 | 19.93 | 84.76 | |
| Multi-Horizon EmulatorPrediction Horizon Configuration=t → t + 1, t + 62026.06 | 57.03 | 98.33 | 21.02 | 66.74 | |
| COGENTKstore=1202026.06 | 71.14 | 115 | 27.98 | 79.72 | |
| Multi-Horizon EmulatorPrediction Horizon Configuration=t → t + 1, t + 6, t + 152026.06 | 73.22 | 92.86 | 16.67 | 68.95 | |
| COGENTKstore=1502026.06 | 78.01 | 90.84 | 25.44 | 70.67 | |
| Single Step Autoregressive ModelPrediction Horizon Configuration=t → t + 12026.06 | 105.95 | 206.79 | 32.73 | 135.47 |