Weekly forecasting on influenza hospitalizations surveillance prediction (2023W41–2024W16)
0.138Forecast Horizon W1 PerformancePersistence
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persistence2026.06 | 0.138 | 0.217 | 0.278 | 0.328 | 0.24 | — | — | |
| M-SPICEInput=TS only2026.06 | 0.144 | 0.201 | 0.254 | 0.31 | 0.228 | — | — | |
| Crossformer2026.06 | 0.145 | 0.203 | 0.274 | 0.326 | 0.237 | — | — | |
| Maestro2026.06 | 0.145 | 0.203 | 0.261 | 0.311 | 0.23 | — | — | |
| M-SPICEInput=TS+Spatial2026.06 | 0.149 | 0.196 | 0.249 | 0.287 | 0.22 | — | — | |
| DiPro2026.06 | 0.155 | 0.217 | 0.265 | 0.315 | 0.238 | — | — | |
| ARIMA2026.06 | 0.165 | 0.268 | 0.372 | 0.46 | 0.316 | — | — | |
| GRU2026.06 | 0.208 | 0.266 | 0.316 | 0.346 | 0.284 | — | — | |
| Cola-GNN2026.06 | 0.235 | 0.339 | 0.356 | 0.371 | 0.325 | — | — | |
| CNNRNN-Res2026.06 | 0.248 | 0.304 | 0.355 | 0.397 | 0.326 | — | — | |
| Autoformer2026.06 | 0.331 | 0.341 | 0.394 | 0.425 | 0.373 | — | — | |
| Timemixer2026.06 | 0.332 | 0.313 | 0.346 | 0.377 | 0.342 | — | — | |
| ARIMA2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 66.8 | 1.465 | |
| Autoformer2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 71.6 | 1.81 | |
| CNNRNN-Res2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 67.5 | 0.775 | |
| Cola-GNN2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 67.2 | 0.663 | |
| Crossformer2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 69.9 | 1.035 | |
| DiPro2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 75.3 | 0.834 | |
| GRU2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 77.1 | 1.026 | |
| M-SPICEinputs=TS only2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 77.6 | 0.745 | |
| M-SPICEinputs=TS+Spatial2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 75.5 | 0.801 | |
| Maestro2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 73.4 | 0.799 | |
| Persistence2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 74.3 | 1 | |
| Timemixer2026.06 | — | — | — | — | — | 70.6 | 1.564 |